Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

1. Lig · Turkey

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Date changed (2 times)

Brought forward to Saturday 19 September at 18:00. Originally planned for Sunday 20 September at 17:00.

Change noted on 16/09.

Esenler Erokspor

0-2full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 0–1

Karagumruk

What Janus-12 said

90%

Under 4.5 goals

90% success over 59 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 6 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

1xBet
BetPawa
Betsson
Betwinner
MelBet
Paripesa

Open a Betwinner account

Promo code: janus-12

Partner link: Janus-12 is paid for accounts opened with this link or code.

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 19/09, 19:09.

Sealed on 19/09, 18:00announced on 06/09/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

80% success over 59 matches in this league
69%✓
78% success over 59 matches in this league
65%✓
75% success over 59 matches in this league
78%✓
68% success over 63 matches in this league
74%✗
64% success over 59 matches in this league
55%✓
61% success over 59 matches in this league
71%✓
59% success over 59 matches in this league
67%✓
54% success over 50 matches in this league
54%✓

Lig A

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Kayserispor	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Bursaspor	8	6	1	1	+9	19
3	Iğdır FK	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Batman Petrolspor	8	5	1	2	+2	16
5	Sarıyer	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Keçiörengücü	8	3	4	1	+7	13
7	Mardin 1969	8	3	3	2	+4	12
8	Antalyaspor	8	4	0	4	+1	12
9	Karagumruk	8	3	3	2	+1	12
10	Muğlaspor	8	2	5	1	+1	11
11	Bandırmaspor	8	2	4	2	+7	10
12	Pendikspor	8	2	4	2	-3	10
13	Manisa F.K.	8	2	3	3	0	9
14	Bodrumspor	8	1	5	2	+1	8
15	Sivasspor	8	1	5	2	-2	8
16	Umraniyespor	8	1	3	4	-3	6
17	Esenler Erokspor	8	0	5	3	-6	5
18	Istanbulspor	8	1	2	5	-12	5
19	Vanspor FK	8	1	3	4	-9	4
20	Boluspor	8	0	1	7	-17	1

What we announced

8/9

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals90%held
- The two teams managed only 6 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Over 1.5 goals69%held
- The two teams had 6 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
At least 1 goal before half-time65%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 39′ Karagumruk.
Under 3.5 goals78%held
Esenler Erokspor or draw74%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Karagumruk scored in the 90th minute.
One team ahead at half-time55%held
At most 1 goal before half-time71%held
Draw or Karagumruk ahead at half-time67%held
Under 2.5 goals54%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableEsenler Erokspor 17th, Karagumruk 9th (Lig A)

During the match

During the match39′ opening goal, Karagumruk (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match86′ sending-off, Karagumruk (A. Stanojevic)
During the match90′ Karagumruk go 2 goals up (0-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 89.8% to 90% success rate, over 60 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Esenler Erokspor on the left, Karagumruk on the right.

First half

22'Yellow card · M. Okyar
23'Yellow card · G. Kanga
Own goal · B. Ozturk39'
Yellow card · E. Akbaba45+2'

Half-time0 - 1

Second half

46'Substitution · H. Bilazer ⇄ F. Orak
46'Substitution · O. Ulas ⇄ Luccas Claro
50'VAR: Goal Disallowed - handball · Luccas Claro
Yellow card · T. Ahmed53'
Substitution · C. Tosun ⇄ D. Tokoz57'
Substitution · R. Civelek ⇄ T. Cukur64'
Yellow card · D. Tokoz70'
77'Substitution · E. Alic ⇄ T. Kacar
Substitution · E. Akbaba ⇄ Y. Onogo81'
Substitution · A. Pesic ⇄ D. Verde81'
84'Substitution · N. Janvier ⇄ Y. Ozyurt
Red card · A. Stanojevic86'
89'Substitution · M. Okyar ⇄ F. Yazgan
Goal · T. Ahmed (assist : T. Cukur)90+4'

What we announced

8/9

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals90%held
- The two teams managed only 6 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Over 1.5 goals69%held
- The two teams had 6 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
At least 1 goal before half-time65%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 39′ Karagumruk.
Under 3.5 goals78%held
Esenler Erokspor or draw74%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Karagumruk scored in the 90th minute.
One team ahead at half-time55%held
At most 1 goal before half-time71%held
Draw or Karagumruk ahead at half-time67%held
Under 2.5 goals54%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableEsenler Erokspor 17th, Karagumruk 9th (Lig A)

During the match

During the match39′ opening goal, Karagumruk (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match86′ sending-off, Karagumruk (A. Stanojevic)
During the match90′ Karagumruk go 2 goals up (0-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 89.8% to 90% success rate, over 60 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Lig A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes