Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

1. Lig · Turkey

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Match postponed (2 times)

Brought forward to Saturday 19 September at 18:00. Originally planned for Sunday 20 September at 17:00.

Change noted on 16/09.

Batman Petrolspor

1–2full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–2

Bursaspor

What Janus-12 said

87%

Under 4.5 goals

90% success over 59 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 19/09, 19:09.

Sealed on 19/09, 18:00announced on 06/09/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

80% success over 59 matches in this league
74%✓
78% success over 59 matches in this league
65%✓
75% success over 59 matches in this league
73%✓
68% success over 63 matches in this league
72%✓
64% success over 59 matches in this league
56%✓
61% success over 59 matches in this league
71%✓
59% success over 59 matches in this league
70%✗
56% success over 9 matches in this league
50%✓

Lig A

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Kayserispor	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Bursaspor	8	6	1	1	+9	19
3	Iğdır FK	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Batman Petrolspor	8	5	1	2	+2	16
5	Sarıyer	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Keçiörengücü	8	3	4	1	+7	13
7	Mardin 1969	8	3	3	2	+4	12
8	Antalyaspor	8	4	0	4	+1	12
9	Karagumruk	8	3	3	2	+1	12
10	Muğlaspor	8	2	5	1	+1	11
11	Bandırmaspor	8	2	4	2	+7	10
12	Pendikspor	8	2	4	2	-3	10
13	Manisa F.K.	8	2	3	3	0	9
14	Bodrumspor	8	1	5	2	+1	8
15	Sivasspor	8	1	5	2	-2	8
16	Umraniyespor	8	1	3	4	-3	6
17	Esenler Erokspor	8	0	5	3	-6	5
18	Istanbulspor	8	1	2	5	-12	5
19	Vanspor FK	8	1	3	4	-9	4
20	Boluspor	8	0	1	7	-17	1

What we announced

8/9

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals87%held
- The two teams managed only 6 shots on target in total, for 3 goals.
Over 1.5 goals74%held
- The two teams had 6 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
At least 1 goal before half-time65%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 29′ Batman Petrolspor.
Under 3.5 goals73%held
Batman Petrolspor or Bursaspor72%held
One team ahead at half-time56%held
At most 1 goal before half-time71%held
Draw or Bursaspor ahead at half-time70%lost
Over 2.5 goals50%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBatman Petrolspor 4th, Bursaspor 2nd (Lig A)

During the match

During the match29′ opening goal, Batman Petrolspor (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match60′ equaliser, Bursaspor (1-1)
During the match85′ turnaround, Bursaspor go ahead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 89.8% to 90% success rate, over 60 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Batman Petrolspor on the left, Bursaspor on the right.

First half

Substitution · H. Akbunar ⇄ H. Maldar24'
29'Goal · Matheus Doria (assist : B. Cagiran)
30'Yellow card · B. Cagiran
Substitution · I. Saranic ⇄ S. Aydogdu36'
Substitution · T. Bayramov ⇄ B. Gok36'
45+1'Substitution · S. Cordova ⇄ G. Altiparmak

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Substitution · E. Akcan ⇄ E. Gultekin46'
Yellow card · B. Gok53'
53'Substitution · B. Cagiran ⇄ Pedrinho
53'Substitution · P. Yaldir ⇄ O. Artan
Penalty goal · K. Iheanacho60'
Substitution · Z. Yavru ⇄ R. Berisbek77'
79'Yellow card · O. Artan
85'Yellow card · O. Imeri
Goal · K. Iheanacho (assist : A. Babacan)85'
89'Substitution · O. Imeri ⇄ G. Karadeniz
89'Substitution · M. Cissokho ⇄ David Kaiki

What we announced

8/9

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals87%held
- The two teams managed only 6 shots on target in total, for 3 goals.
Over 1.5 goals74%held
- The two teams had 6 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
At least 1 goal before half-time65%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 29′ Batman Petrolspor.
Under 3.5 goals73%held
Batman Petrolspor or Bursaspor72%held
One team ahead at half-time56%held
At most 1 goal before half-time71%held
Draw or Bursaspor ahead at half-time70%lost
Over 2.5 goals50%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBatman Petrolspor 4th, Bursaspor 2nd (Lig A)

During the match

During the match29′ opening goal, Batman Petrolspor (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match60′ equaliser, Bursaspor (1-1)
During the match85′ turnaround, Bursaspor go ahead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 89.8% to 90% success rate, over 60 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Lig A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes