Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

1. Lig · Turkey

full time

Friday, 18 September 2026

Date changed (2 times)

Brought forward to Friday 18 September at 14:00. Originally planned for Sunday 20 September at 17:00.

Change noted on 16/09.

Bandırmaspor

0-1full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 0–1

Umraniyespor

What Janus-12 said

88%

Under 4.5 goals

89% success over 55 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 18/09, 15:32.

Sealed on 18/09, 14:00announced on 06/09/2026, 11 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

80% success over 55 matches in this league
68%✗
80% success over 55 matches in this league
72%✗
75% success over 55 matches in this league
75%✓
68% success over 59 matches in this league
82%✗
67% success over 55 matches in this league
59%✗
60% success over 55 matches in this league
69%✓
58% success over 55 matches in this league
59%✓
54% success over 48 matches in this league
51%✓
44% success over 59 matches in this league
60%✗

Lig A

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Kayserispor	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Bursaspor	8	6	1	1	+9	19
3	Iğdır FK	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Batman Petrolspor	8	5	1	2	+2	16
5	Sarıyer	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Keçiörengücü	8	3	4	1	+7	13
7	Mardin 1969	8	3	3	2	+4	12
8	Antalyaspor	8	4	0	4	+1	12
9	Karagumruk	8	3	3	2	+1	12
10	Muğlaspor	8	2	5	1	+1	11
11	Bandırmaspor	8	2	4	2	+7	10
12	Pendikspor	8	2	4	2	-3	10
13	Manisa F.K.	8	2	3	3	0	9
14	Bodrumspor	8	1	5	2	+1	8
15	Sivasspor	8	1	5	2	-2	8
16	Umraniyespor	8	1	3	4	-3	6
17	Esenler Erokspor	8	0	5	3	-6	5
18	Istanbulspor	8	1	2	5	-12	5
19	Vanspor FK	8	1	3	4	-9	4
20	Boluspor	8	0	1	7	-17	1

What we announced

5/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals88%held
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The two teams managed only 5 shots on target in total, for 1 goal.
At least 1 goal before half-time68%lost
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Over 1.5 goals72%lost
Under 3.5 goals75%held
Bandırmaspor or draw82%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Umraniyespor scored in the 88th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Bandırmaspor had 9 shots against 7, for 0 goal against 1.
One team ahead at half-time59%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time69%held
Draw or Umraniyespor ahead at half-time59%held
Under 2.5 goals51%held
Bandırmaspor to win60%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBandırmaspor 11th, Umraniyespor 16th (Lig A)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match88′ opening goal, Umraniyespor (0-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 89.1% to 89.3% success rate, over 56 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,074 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What we announced

5/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals88%held
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The two teams managed only 5 shots on target in total, for 1 goal.
At least 1 goal before half-time68%lost
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Over 1.5 goals72%lost
Under 3.5 goals75%held
Bandırmaspor or draw82%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Umraniyespor scored in the 88th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Bandırmaspor had 9 shots against 7, for 0 goal against 1.
One team ahead at half-time59%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time69%held
Draw or Umraniyespor ahead at half-time59%held
Under 2.5 goals51%held
Bandırmaspor to win60%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBandırmaspor 11th, Umraniyespor 16th (Lig A)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match88′ opening goal, Umraniyespor (0-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 89.1% to 89.3% success rate, over 56 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,074 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Lig A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes