Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

1. Lig · Turkey

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Date changed (2 times)

Moved to Sunday 20 September at 18:00. Originally planned for Sunday 20 September at 17:00.

Change noted on 16/09.

Antalyaspor

3-0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 2–0

Vanspor FK

What Janus-12 said

89%

Under 4.5 goals

90% success over 63 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 15:25.

Sealed on 20/09, 18:00announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

79% success over 63 matches in this league
74%✓
76% success over 63 matches in this league
67%✓
76% success over 63 matches in this league
72%✓
66% success over 67 matches in this league
73%✓
63% success over 63 matches in this league
55%✓
63% success over 63 matches in this league
68%✓
60% success over 63 matches in this league
66%✗
56% success over 52 matches in this league
51%✗

Lig A

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Kayserispor	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Bursaspor	8	6	1	1	+9	19
3	Iğdır FK	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Batman Petrolspor	8	5	1	2	+2	16
5	Sarıyer	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Keçiörengücü	8	3	4	1	+7	13
7	Mardin 1969	8	3	3	2	+4	12
8	Antalyaspor	8	4	0	4	+1	12
9	Karagumruk	8	3	3	2	+1	12
10	Muğlaspor	8	2	5	1	+1	11
11	Bandırmaspor	8	2	4	2	+7	10
12	Pendikspor	8	2	4	2	-3	10
13	Manisa F.K.	8	2	3	3	0	9
14	Bodrumspor	8	1	5	2	+1	8
15	Sivasspor	8	1	5	2	-2	8
16	Umraniyespor	8	1	3	4	-3	6
17	Esenler Erokspor	8	0	5	3	-6	5
18	Istanbulspor	8	1	2	5	-12	5
19	Vanspor FK	8	1	3	4	-9	4
20	Boluspor	8	0	1	7	-17	1

What we announced

7/9

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals89%held
- The two teams managed only 6 shots on target in total, for 3 goals.
Over 1.5 goals74%held
- The two teams had 6 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
At least 1 goal before half-time67%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 38′ Antalyaspor.
Under 3.5 goals72%held
Antalyaspor or draw73%held
- Antalyaspor took the lead in the 38th minute and never let it go.
One team ahead at half-time55%held
At most 1 goal before half-time68%held
Draw or Vanspor FK ahead at half-time66%lost
Under 2.5 goals51%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAntalyaspor 8th, Vanspor FK 19th (Lig A)

During the match

During the match38′ opening goal, Antalyaspor (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match56′ Antalyaspor go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match88′ last goal, Antalyaspor

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 90.5% to 90.6% success rate, over 64 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Antalyaspor on the left, Vanspor FK on the right.

First half

29'Yellow card · F. Nzaba
38'Goal · S. van de Streek (assist : M. Simsek)

Half-time1 - 0

Second half

Substitution · O. Yigiter ⇄ O. Kokcu46'
Yellow card · K. Seven48'
56'Goal · N. Da Costa (assist : M. Simsek)
Yellow card · S. Osmanoglu64'
Substitution · J. Bardhi ⇄ M. Khan65'
Substitution · F. Ozhan ⇄ I. Alhaft65'
Substitution · Alvaro de Oliveira ⇄ I. Sever67'
71'Substitution · S. van de Streek ⇄ O. Beyaz
71'Substitution · R. Safuri ⇄ J. Ceesay
78'Substitution · S. Dikmen ⇄ Y. Ilcin
78'Substitution · N. Da Costa ⇄ A. Sagat
Substitution · H. Ciftci ⇄ M. Ozcan86'
86'Substitution · Pedrinho ⇄ S. Yalcin
88'Goal · S. Yalcin (assist : Y. Ilcin)

What we announced

7/9

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals89%held
- The two teams managed only 6 shots on target in total, for 3 goals.
Over 1.5 goals74%held
- The two teams had 6 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
At least 1 goal before half-time67%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 38′ Antalyaspor.
Under 3.5 goals72%held
Antalyaspor or draw73%held
- Antalyaspor took the lead in the 38th minute and never let it go.
One team ahead at half-time55%held
At most 1 goal before half-time68%held
Draw or Vanspor FK ahead at half-time66%lost
Under 2.5 goals51%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAntalyaspor 8th, Vanspor FK 19th (Lig A)

During the match

During the match38′ opening goal, Antalyaspor (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match56′ Antalyaspor go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match88′ last goal, Antalyaspor

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 90.5% to 90.6% success rate, over 64 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Lig A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes