Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

1. Lig · Turkey

full time

Sunday, 13 September 2026

Sivasspor

1-1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 0–0

Muğlaspor

What Janus-12 said

89%

Under 4.5 goals

88% success over 50 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 6 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

1xBet
BetPawa
Betsson
Betwinner
MelBet
Paripesa

Open a Betwinner account

Promo code: janus-12

Partner link: Janus-12 is paid for accounts opened with this link or code.

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 13/09, 09:04.

Sealed on 13/09, 15:00announced on 30/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

80% success over 50 matches in this league
66%✓
80% success over 50 matches in this league
72%✓
76% success over 50 matches in this league
78%✓
70% success over 54 matches in this league
70%✗
68% success over 50 matches in this league
54%✗
62% success over 50 matches in this league
72%✗
60% success over 50 matches in this league
73%✓
51% success over 45 matches in this league
56%✓

Lig A

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Kayserispor	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Bursaspor	8	6	1	1	+9	19
3	Iğdır FK	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Batman Petrolspor	8	5	1	2	+2	16
5	Sarıyer	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Keçiörengücü	8	3	4	1	+7	13
7	Mardin 1969	8	3	3	2	+4	12
8	Antalyaspor	8	4	0	4	+1	12
9	Karagumruk	8	3	3	2	+1	12
10	Muğlaspor	8	2	5	1	+1	11
11	Bandırmaspor	8	2	4	2	+7	10
12	Pendikspor	8	2	4	2	-3	10
13	Manisa F.K.	8	2	3	3	0	9
14	Bodrumspor	8	1	5	2	+1	8
15	Sivasspor	8	1	5	2	-2	8
16	Umraniyespor	8	1	3	4	-3	6
17	Esenler Erokspor	8	0	5	3	-6	5
18	Istanbulspor	8	1	2	5	-12	5
19	Vanspor FK	8	1	3	4	-9	4
20	Boluspor	8	0	1	7	-17	1

What we announced

6/9

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals89%held
- The two teams managed only 9 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
At least 1 goal before half-time66%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 13′ Sivasspor, 33′ Muğlaspor.
Over 1.5 goals72%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 13th minute, 2 in total.
- The two teams had 9 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 3.5 goals78%held
Sivasspor or Muğlaspor70%lost
One team ahead at half-time54%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time72%lost
Draw or Muğlaspor ahead at half-time73%held
Under 2.5 goals56%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSivasspor 15th, Muğlaspor 10th (Lig A)

During the match

During the match13′ opening goal, Sivasspor (1-0)
During the match33′ equaliser, Muğlaspor (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 88% to 88.2% success rate, over 51 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Sivasspor on the left, Muğlaspor on the right.

First half

10'Yellow card · Rey Manaj
13'Goal · Valon Ethemi (assist : Amilton da Silva)
Goal · Ahmet Engin (assist : Oguzhan Matur)33'
Yellow card · Yalçın Koşukavak36'
45'Substitution · M. Mohammed ⇄ Cihat Celik
Substitution · Mamady·Diarra ⇄ Korede Osundina45'

Half-time1 - 1

Second half

56'Substitution · Burak Kapacak ⇄ Salih Kavrazlı
67'Substitution · Mert Celik ⇄ Okan Erdogan
Substitution · Yasin Uzunoglu ⇄ Ibrahim Sissoko67'
Substitution · Buluthan Bulut ⇄ Ali Kaan Guneren67'
67'Substitution · Valon Ethemi ⇄ Ebrima Ceesay
Substitution · Daniel Avramovski ⇄ İ. Furat83'
Substitution · Ahmet Engin ⇄ Orhan Nahirci83'
86'Substitution · Charilaos Charisis ⇄ Oguzhan Aksoy
Yellow card · Orhan Nahirci90+1'

What we announced

6/9

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals89%held
- The two teams managed only 9 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
At least 1 goal before half-time66%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 13′ Sivasspor, 33′ Muğlaspor.
Over 1.5 goals72%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 13th minute, 2 in total.
- The two teams had 9 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 3.5 goals78%held
Sivasspor or Muğlaspor70%lost
One team ahead at half-time54%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time72%lost
Draw or Muğlaspor ahead at half-time73%held
Under 2.5 goals56%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSivasspor 15th, Muğlaspor 10th (Lig A)

During the match

During the match13′ opening goal, Sivasspor (1-0)
During the match33′ equaliser, Muğlaspor (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 88% to 88.2% success rate, over 51 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Lig A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes