Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

1. Lig · Turkey

full time

Monday, 14 September 2026

Kayserispor

4–0full timeHT 3–0 · 2H 1–0

Istanbulspor

What Janus-12 said

89%

Under 4.5 goals

89% success over 54 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 14/09, 15:25.

Sealed on 14/09, 18:00announced on 31/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

80% success over 54 matches in this league
67%✓
80% success over 54 matches in this league
70%✓
76% success over 54 matches in this league
71%✗
67% success over 58 matches in this league
80%✓
67% success over 54 matches in this league
56%✓
61% success over 54 matches in this league
72%✗
59% success over 54 matches in this league
64%✗
50% success over 6 matches in this league
51%✓
43% success over 58 matches in this league
56%✓

Lig A

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Kayserispor	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Bursaspor	8	6	1	1	+9	19
3	Iğdır FK	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Batman Petrolspor	8	5	1	2	+2	16
5	Sarıyer	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Keçiörengücü	8	3	4	1	+7	13
7	Mardin 1969	8	3	3	2	+4	12
8	Antalyaspor	8	4	0	4	+1	12
9	Karagumruk	8	3	3	2	+1	12
10	Muğlaspor	8	2	5	1	+1	11
11	Bandırmaspor	8	2	4	2	+7	10
12	Pendikspor	8	2	4	2	-3	10
13	Manisa F.K.	8	2	3	3	0	9
14	Bodrumspor	8	1	5	2	+1	8
15	Sivasspor	8	1	5	2	-2	8
16	Umraniyespor	8	1	3	4	-3	6
17	Esenler Erokspor	8	0	5	3	-6	5
18	Istanbulspor	8	1	2	5	-12	5
19	Vanspor FK	8	1	3	4	-9	4
20	Boluspor	8	0	1	7	-17	1

What we announced

7/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals89%held
- The two teams managed only 7 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
At least 1 goal before half-time67%held
- It was all decided before the break: 3-0 at half-time, 25′ Kayserispor, 34′ Kayserispor, 44′ Kayserispor.
Over 1.5 goals70%held
- The two teams had 7 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 3.5 goals71%lost
Kayserispor or draw80%held
- Kayserispor took the lead in the 25th minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 6 shots on target for Kayserispor against 1.
One team ahead at half-time56%held
At most 1 goal before half-time72%lost
Draw or Istanbulspor ahead at half-time64%lost
Over 2.5 goals51%held
Kayserispor to win56%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableKayserispor 1st, Istanbulspor 18th (Lig A)

During the match

During the match25′ opening goal, Kayserispor (1-0)
During the match34′ Kayserispor go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-0
During the match83′ last goal, Kayserispor

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 88.9% to 89.1% success rate, over 55 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,517 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Kayserispor on the left, Istanbulspor on the right.

First half

VAR: Goal cancelled · Yusuf Ozer23'
25'Goal · Taulant Seferi
31'VAR: Goal cancelled · Semih Güler
34'Goal · Daniel Moreno (assist : Oğulcan Çağlayan)
Substitution · Muhlis Dagasan ⇄ Vefa Temel39'
44'Goal · Daniel Moreno
Substitution · Kubilay Sönmez ⇄ Elvin Mendy45'
Substitution · Ali Akman ⇄ Ilian Iliev45'

Half-time3 – 0

Second half

56'Substitution · Manadi Camara ⇄ Ensar Kemaloglu
56'Substitution · Oğulcan Çağlayan ⇄ Florent Hasani
Substitution · Alieu Cham ⇄ Essap Njie66'
Substitution · Ömer Faruk Duymaz ⇄ Berk Ali Nizam73'
74'Substitution · Daniel Moreno ⇄ Denis Radu
81'Substitution · Görkem Sağlam ⇄ Murat Cem Akpinar
81'Substitution · Semih Güler ⇄ Kayra Cihan
83'Goal · Taulant Seferi (assist : Mehmet Murat Uçar)

What we announced

7/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals89%held
- The two teams managed only 7 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
At least 1 goal before half-time67%held
- It was all decided before the break: 3-0 at half-time, 25′ Kayserispor, 34′ Kayserispor, 44′ Kayserispor.
Over 1.5 goals70%held
- The two teams had 7 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 3.5 goals71%lost
Kayserispor or draw80%held
- Kayserispor took the lead in the 25th minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 6 shots on target for Kayserispor against 1.
One team ahead at half-time56%held
At most 1 goal before half-time72%lost
Draw or Istanbulspor ahead at half-time64%lost
Over 2.5 goals51%held
Kayserispor to win56%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableKayserispor 1st, Istanbulspor 18th (Lig A)

During the match

During the match25′ opening goal, Kayserispor (1-0)
During the match34′ Kayserispor go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-0
During the match83′ last goal, Kayserispor

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 88.9% to 89.1% success rate, over 55 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,517 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Lig A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes