Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

1. Lig · Turkey

full time

Sunday, 6 September 2026

Muğlaspor

2-2full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 1–1

Vanspor FK

What Janus-12 said

90%

Under 4.5 goals

87% success over 38 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 2 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

1xBet
BetPawa

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 06/09, 12:04.

Sealed on 06/09, 15:01announced on 23/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

76% success over 38 matches in this league
66%✓
76% success over 38 matches in this league
71%✓
76% success over 38 matches in this league
74%✗
74% success over 42 matches in this league
79%✓
68% success over 38 matches in this league
57%✗
63% success over 38 matches in this league
70%✗
61% success over 38 matches in this league
62%✓
59% success over 34 matches in this league
51%✗
48% success over 42 matches in this league
56%✗

Lig A

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Kayserispor	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Bursaspor	8	6	1	1	+9	19
3	Iğdır FK	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Batman Petrolspor	8	5	1	2	+2	16
5	Sarıyer	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Keçiörengücü	8	3	4	1	+7	13
7	Mardin 1969	8	3	3	2	+4	12
8	Antalyaspor	8	4	0	4	+1	12
9	Karagumruk	8	3	3	2	+1	12
10	Muğlaspor	8	2	5	1	+1	11
11	Bandırmaspor	8	2	4	2	+7	10
12	Pendikspor	8	2	4	2	-3	10
13	Manisa F.K.	8	2	3	3	0	9
14	Bodrumspor	8	1	5	2	+1	8
15	Sivasspor	8	1	5	2	-2	8
16	Umraniyespor	8	1	3	4	-3	6
17	Esenler Erokspor	8	0	5	3	-6	5
18	Istanbulspor	8	1	2	5	-12	5
19	Vanspor FK	8	1	3	4	-9	4
20	Boluspor	8	0	1	7	-17	1

What we announced

5/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals90%held
- The two teams managed only 10 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
At least 1 goal before half-time66%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 12′ Vanspor FK, 39′ Muğlaspor.
Over 1.5 goals71%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 12th minute, 4 in total.
- The two teams had 10 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 3.5 goals74%lost
Muğlaspor or draw79%held
One team ahead at half-time57%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time70%lost
Draw or Vanspor FK ahead at half-time62%held
Under 2.5 goals51%lost
Muğlaspor to win56%lost
- Muğlaspor chased the score almost all match: Vanspor FK scored as early as the 12th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMuğlaspor 10th, Vanspor FK 19th (Lig A)

During the match

During the match12′ opening goal, Vanspor FK (0-1)
During the match39′ equaliser, Muğlaspor (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match55′ Vanspor FK retake the lead (1-2)
During the match89′ equaliser, Muğlaspor (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 86.8% to 87.2% success rate, over 39 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,465 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Muğlaspor on the left, Vanspor FK on the right.

First half

Goal · Jurgen Bardhi (assist : Mehmet Manis)12'
VAR: Penalty confirmed · Naby Youssouf Oulare34'
34'Yellow card · Yiğit Fidan
Missed penalty · İlkan Sever35'
39'Goal · Yasin Uzunoglu (assist : Poyraz Yildirim)
43'Yellow card · Bilal Ceylan

Half-time1 - 1

Second half

Goal · Jurgen Bardhi (assist : Mehmet Manis)55'
Yellow card · İlkan Sever60'
Substitution · İlkan Sever ⇄ Ozan Kokcu61'
66'Substitution · Ali·Barak ⇄ Oguzhan Matur
66'Substitution · Poyraz Yildirim ⇄ Driton Camaj
66'Substitution · Buluthan Bulut ⇄ Ibrahim Sissoko
Yellow card · Mehmet Özcan71'
Substitution · Mehmet Özcan ⇄ Hikmet Çiftçi72'
Substitution · Mehmet Manis ⇄ Celal Hanalp73'
75'Substitution · Bilal Ceylan ⇄ Ahmet Engin
78'Yellow card · Jurgen Çelhaka
78'Substitution · Mamady·Diarra ⇄ Korede Osundina
Substitution · Tenton Yenne ⇄ Muhammed Furkan Özhan78'
Substitution · Ilias Alhaft ⇄ Kadir Seven79'
83'Yellow card · Luis Mago
89'Goal · Korede Osundina (assist : Driton Camaj)
Yellow card · Faruk Can Genç90+5'

What we announced

5/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals90%held
- The two teams managed only 10 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
At least 1 goal before half-time66%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 12′ Vanspor FK, 39′ Muğlaspor.
Over 1.5 goals71%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 12th minute, 4 in total.
- The two teams had 10 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 3.5 goals74%lost
Muğlaspor or draw79%held
One team ahead at half-time57%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time70%lost
Draw or Vanspor FK ahead at half-time62%held
Under 2.5 goals51%lost
Muğlaspor to win56%lost
- Muğlaspor chased the score almost all match: Vanspor FK scored as early as the 12th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMuğlaspor 10th, Vanspor FK 19th (Lig A)

During the match

During the match12′ opening goal, Vanspor FK (0-1)
During the match39′ equaliser, Muğlaspor (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match55′ Vanspor FK retake the lead (1-2)
During the match89′ equaliser, Muğlaspor (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 86.8% to 87.2% success rate, over 39 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,465 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Lig A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes