Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

1. Lig · Turkey

full time

Monday, 7 September 2026

Manisa F.K.

1-2full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 0–1

Bursaspor

What Janus-12 said

87%

Under 4.5 goals

86% success over 43 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 07/09, 15:25.

Sealed on 07/09, 18:00announced on 24/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

79% success over 43 matches in this league
64%✓
79% success over 43 matches in this league
71%✓
74% success over 47 matches in this league
71%✓
74% success over 43 matches in this league
75%✓
67% success over 43 matches in this league
54%✗
63% success over 43 matches in this league
75%✓
60% success over 43 matches in this league
71%✗
51% success over 39 matches in this league
53%✗

Lig A

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Kayserispor	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Bursaspor	8	6	1	1	+9	19
3	Iğdır FK	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Batman Petrolspor	8	5	1	2	+2	16
5	Sarıyer	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Keçiörengücü	8	3	4	1	+7	13
7	Mardin 1969	8	3	3	2	+4	12
8	Antalyaspor	8	4	0	4	+1	12
9	Karagumruk	8	3	3	2	+1	12
10	Muğlaspor	8	2	5	1	+1	11
11	Bandırmaspor	8	2	4	2	+7	10
12	Pendikspor	8	2	4	2	-3	10
13	Manisa F.K.	8	2	3	3	0	9
14	Bodrumspor	8	1	5	2	+1	8
15	Sivasspor	8	1	5	2	-2	8
16	Umraniyespor	8	1	3	4	-3	6
17	Esenler Erokspor	8	0	5	3	-6	5
18	Istanbulspor	8	1	2	5	-12	5
19	Vanspor FK	8	1	3	4	-9	4
20	Boluspor	8	0	1	7	-17	1

What we announced

6/9

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals87%held
- The two teams managed only 4 shots on target in total, for 3 goals.
At least 1 goal before half-time64%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 20′ Manisa F.K., 27′ Bursaspor.
Over 1.5 goals71%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 20th minute, 3 in total.
- The two teams had 4 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Manisa F.K. or Bursaspor71%held
Under 3.5 goals75%held
One team ahead at half-time54%lost
Draw or Bursaspor ahead at half-time75%held
At most 1 goal before half-time71%lost
Under 2.5 goals53%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableManisa F.K. 13th, Bursaspor 2nd (Lig A)

During the match

During the match20′ opening goal, Manisa F.K. (1-0)
During the match27′ equaliser, Bursaspor (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match90′ turnaround, Bursaspor go ahead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 86% to 86.4% success rate, over 44 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,882 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Manisa F.K. on the left, Bursaspor on the right.

First half

20'Goal · Cheikne Sylla
Goal · Kelechi Iheanacho (assist : Zeki Yavru)27'
Substitution · B. Gök ⇄ Tural Bayramov45'
Substitution · Juergen Elitim ⇄ Soner Aydoğdu45'

Half-time1 - 1

Second half

52'Yellow card · Christophe Herelle
Substitution · Zeki Yavru ⇄ Rahmetullah Berisbek54'
Yellow card · Tural Bayramov58'
66'Yellow card · Yassine Benrahou
Substitution · Hüseyin Maldar ⇄ Baran Başyiğit67'
73'Substitution · Yusuf Talum ⇄ K. Yurdakul
Substitution · Halil Akbunar ⇄ Ivan Saranic78'
82'Substitution · Julien Anziani ⇄ Osman Kahraman
83'Yellow card · Atakan Rıdvan Çankaya
Yellow card · Alperen Babacan86'
Goal · Kelechi Iheanacho90+2'
90+4'Yellow card · Vedat Karakuş

What we announced

6/9

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals87%held
- The two teams managed only 4 shots on target in total, for 3 goals.
At least 1 goal before half-time64%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 20′ Manisa F.K., 27′ Bursaspor.
Over 1.5 goals71%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 20th minute, 3 in total.
- The two teams had 4 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Manisa F.K. or Bursaspor71%held
Under 3.5 goals75%held
One team ahead at half-time54%lost
Draw or Bursaspor ahead at half-time75%held
At most 1 goal before half-time71%lost
Under 2.5 goals53%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableManisa F.K. 13th, Bursaspor 2nd (Lig A)

During the match

During the match20′ opening goal, Manisa F.K. (1-0)
During the match27′ equaliser, Bursaspor (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match90′ turnaround, Bursaspor go ahead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 86% to 86.4% success rate, over 44 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,882 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Lig A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes