Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

1. Lig · Turkey

full time

Monday, 7 September 2026

Esenler Erokspor

0-3full timeHT 0–2 · 2H 0–1

Kayserispor

What Janus-12 said

92%

Under 4.5 goals

85% success over 41 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 07/09, 10:00.

Sealed on 07/09, 15:00announced on 24/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

78% success over 41 matches in this league
64%✓
78% success over 41 matches in this league
66%✓
76% success over 45 matches in this league
75%✗
73% success over 41 matches in this league
80%✓
66% success over 41 matches in this league
54%✓
61% success over 41 matches in this league
68%✓
61% success over 41 matches in this league
73%✗
54% success over 37 matches in this league
57%✗

Lig A

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Kayserispor	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Bursaspor	8	6	1	1	+9	19
3	Iğdır FK	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Batman Petrolspor	8	5	1	2	+2	16
5	Sarıyer	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Keçiörengücü	8	3	4	1	+7	13
7	Mardin 1969	8	3	3	2	+4	12
8	Antalyaspor	8	4	0	4	+1	12
9	Karagumruk	8	3	3	2	+1	12
10	Muğlaspor	8	2	5	1	+1	11
11	Bandırmaspor	8	2	4	2	+7	10
12	Pendikspor	8	2	4	2	-3	10
13	Manisa F.K.	8	2	3	3	0	9
14	Bodrumspor	8	1	5	2	+1	8
15	Sivasspor	8	1	5	2	-2	8
16	Umraniyespor	8	1	3	4	-3	6
17	Esenler Erokspor	8	0	5	3	-6	5
18	Istanbulspor	8	1	2	5	-12	5
19	Vanspor FK	8	1	3	4	-9	4
20	Boluspor	8	0	1	7	-17	1

What we announced

6/9

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals92%held
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 57th minute, on the Esenler Erokspor side.
- The two teams managed only 8 shots on target in total, for 3 goals.
At least 1 goal before half-time64%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-2 at half-time, 17′ Kayserispor, 33′ Kayserispor.
Over 1.5 goals66%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 17th minute, 3 in total.
- The two teams had 8 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Esenler Erokspor or draw75%lost
- Esenler Erokspor finished with ten men: sent off in the 57th minute, 33 minutes a man down.
- Esenler Erokspor chased the score almost all match: Kayserispor scored as early as the 17th minute.
Under 3.5 goals80%held
One team ahead at half-time54%held
Draw or Kayserispor ahead at half-time68%held
At most 1 goal before half-time73%lost
Under 2.5 goals57%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableEsenler Erokspor 17th, Kayserispor 1st (Lig A)

During the match

During the match17′ opening goal, Kayserispor (0-1)
During the match33′ Kayserispor go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2
During the match57′ sending-off, Esenler Erokspor (Mame Mor Faye)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 85.4% to 85.7% success rate, over 42 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,882 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Esenler Erokspor on the left, Kayserispor on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Manadi Camara12'
Goal · Daniel Moreno (assist : Görkem Sağlam)17'
Goal · Daniel Moreno (assist : Manadi Camara)33'
45'Substitution · Muhamed Buljubašić ⇄ Nicolas Janvier
Substitution · Florent Hasani ⇄ Ensar Kemaloglu45'
45'Substitution · Hayrullah Bilazer ⇄ Furkan Orak
45'Substitution · Erkan Kaş ⇄ Enes Alıç

Half-time0 - 2

Second half

57'VAR: Card upgrade confirmed · Mame Mor Faye
57'Red card · Mame Mor Faye
Yellow card · Taulant Seferi65'
66'Substitution · Mikail Okyar ⇄ Onur Ulaş
Goal · Taulant Seferi68'
Substitution · Manadi Camara ⇄ Murat Cem Akpinar70'
Substitution · Görkem Sağlam ⇄ Oğulcan Çağlayan70'
Yellow card · Ensar Kemaloglu71'
Yellow card · Semih Güler73'
74'Substitution · Yusuf Erdoğan ⇄ Altin Zeqiri
75'Yellow card · Enes Alıç
Substitution · Taulant Seferi ⇄ Ataol Taylan Karapınar83'
87'Yellow card · Furkan Orak
Substitution · Sinan Kurt ⇄ Marco Dulca87'
90+1'Yellow card · Altin Zeqiri

What we announced

6/9

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals92%held
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 57th minute, on the Esenler Erokspor side.
- The two teams managed only 8 shots on target in total, for 3 goals.
At least 1 goal before half-time64%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-2 at half-time, 17′ Kayserispor, 33′ Kayserispor.
Over 1.5 goals66%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 17th minute, 3 in total.
- The two teams had 8 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Esenler Erokspor or draw75%lost
- Esenler Erokspor finished with ten men: sent off in the 57th minute, 33 minutes a man down.
- Esenler Erokspor chased the score almost all match: Kayserispor scored as early as the 17th minute.
Under 3.5 goals80%held
One team ahead at half-time54%held
Draw or Kayserispor ahead at half-time68%held
At most 1 goal before half-time73%lost
Under 2.5 goals57%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableEsenler Erokspor 17th, Kayserispor 1st (Lig A)

During the match

During the match17′ opening goal, Kayserispor (0-1)
During the match33′ Kayserispor go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2
During the match57′ sending-off, Esenler Erokspor (Mame Mor Faye)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 85.4% to 85.7% success rate, over 42 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,882 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Lig A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes