Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

1. Lig · Turkey

full time

Thursday, 3 September 2026

Bursaspor

4–0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 3–0

Istanbulspor

What Janus-12 said

86%

Under 4.5 goals

88% success over 33 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 03/09, 15:25.

Sealed on 03/09, 18:00announced on 20/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

79% success over 33 matches in this league
72%✓
79% success over 33 matches in this league
67%✗
76% success over 33 matches in this league
69%✓
73% success over 37 matches in this league
76%✓
67% success over 33 matches in this league
60%✓
67% success over 33 matches in this league
59%✗
61% success over 33 matches in this league
69%✓
33% success over 3 matches in this league
54%✓

Lig A

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Kayserispor	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Bursaspor	8	6	1	1	+9	19
3	Iğdır FK	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Batman Petrolspor	8	5	1	2	+2	16
5	Sarıyer	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Keçiörengücü	8	3	4	1	+7	13
7	Mardin 1969	8	3	3	2	+4	12
8	Antalyaspor	8	4	0	4	+1	12
9	Karagumruk	8	3	3	2	+1	12
10	Muğlaspor	8	2	5	1	+1	11
11	Bandırmaspor	8	2	4	2	+7	10
12	Pendikspor	8	2	4	2	-3	10
13	Manisa F.K.	8	2	3	3	0	9
14	Bodrumspor	8	1	5	2	+1	8
15	Sivasspor	8	1	5	2	-2	8
16	Umraniyespor	8	1	3	4	-3	6
17	Esenler Erokspor	8	0	5	3	-6	5
18	Istanbulspor	8	1	2	5	-12	5
19	Vanspor FK	8	1	3	4	-9	4
20	Boluspor	8	0	1	7	-17	1

What we announced

7/9

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals86%held
- The two teams managed only 7 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
Over 1.5 goals72%held
- The two teams had 7 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 3.5 goals67%lost
At least 1 goal before half-time69%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 45′ Bursaspor.
Bursaspor or Istanbulspor76%held
One team ahead at half-time60%held
Draw or Istanbulspor ahead at half-time59%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time69%held
Over 2.5 goals54%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBursaspor 2nd, Istanbulspor 18th (Lig A)

During the match

During the match45′ opening goal, Bursaspor (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match58′ Bursaspor go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match77′ last goal, Bursaspor

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 87.9% to 88.2% success rate, over 34 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,688 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Bursaspor on the left, Istanbulspor on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Phellipe Cardoso Araújo19'
Yellow card · Barış Kanbak20'
21'Yellow card · Zeki Yavru
26'VAR: Goal cancelled · Kelechi Iheanacho
Yellow card · Abdullah Dijlan Aydin29'
32'Yellow card · Halil Akbunar
45'Goal · Kelechi Iheanacho (assist : Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos)

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Yellow card · Alp Tutar56'
56'Yellow card · Batuhan Yayikci
58'Goal · Halil Akbunar
Yellow card · Yusuf Ozer59'
62'Substitution · Amine Boutrah ⇄ Hüseyin Maldar
Substitution · Ilian Iliev ⇄ Vefa Temel64'
Substitution · Abdullah Dijlan Aydin ⇄ Mustafa Sol64'
67'Own goal · Duran Şahin
70'Substitution · B. Gök ⇄ Tural Bayramov
70'Substitution · Juergen Elitim ⇄ Soner Aydoğdu
Substitution · Berk Ali Nizam ⇄ Essap Njie76'
77'Goal · Kelechi Iheanacho
79'Substitution · Halil Akbunar ⇄ Emir Kaan Gultekin
79'Substitution · Eyüp Akcan ⇄ Lewis Baker
Substitution · Yusuf Ozer ⇄ Turan Deni̇z Tuncer81'
Substitution · U. İslamoğlu ⇄ Enver Azmi Sarıalioğlu81'

What we announced

7/9

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals86%held
- The two teams managed only 7 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
Over 1.5 goals72%held
- The two teams had 7 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 3.5 goals67%lost
At least 1 goal before half-time69%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 45′ Bursaspor.
Bursaspor or Istanbulspor76%held
One team ahead at half-time60%held
Draw or Istanbulspor ahead at half-time59%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time69%held
Over 2.5 goals54%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBursaspor 2nd, Istanbulspor 18th (Lig A)

During the match

During the match45′ opening goal, Bursaspor (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match58′ Bursaspor go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match77′ last goal, Bursaspor

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 87.9% to 88.2% success rate, over 34 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,688 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Lig A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes