Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Süper Lig · Turkey

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 20 September at 15:00. Originally planned for Sunday 20 September at 13:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Erzurum BB

1-0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–0

Samsunspor

What Janus-12 said

71%

At least 1 goal before half-time

76% success over 45 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: At least 1 goal before half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 17:05.

Sealed on 20/09, 15:00announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

70% success over 47 matches in this league
76%✓
69% success over 45 matches in this league
71%✓
64% success over 45 matches in this league
61%✓
58% success over 43 matches in this league
66%✗
57% success over 23 matches in this league
56%✗

Süper Lig

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Amed	6	4	1	1	+8	13
2	Galatasaray	6	4	1	1	+3	13
3	Besiktas	6	4	0	2	+7	12
4	Kocaelispor	6	4	0	2	+3	12
5	Alanyaspor	6	3	2	1	+2	11
6	Fenerbahce	6	3	1	2	+10	10
7	Trabzonspor	6	3	1	2	+8	10
8	Kasimpasa	6	2	4	0	+2	10
9	Rizespor	6	3	1	2	+1	10
10	Gaziantep	6	2	2	2	0	8
11	Çorum FK	6	2	1	3	+1	7
12	Buyuksehyr	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Genclerbirligi	6	2	1	3	-8	7
14	Erzurum BB	6	2	1	3	-8	7
15	Konyaspor	6	1	1	4	-4	4
16	Samsunspor	6	1	1	4	-6	4
17	Goztep	6	0	3	3	-4	3
18	Eyupspor	6	1	0	5	-14	3

What we announced

4/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

At least 1 goal before half-time71%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 45′ Erzurum BB.
Erzurum BB or draw76%held
- Erzurum BB took the lead in the 45th minute and never let it go.
Under 3.5 goals71%held
- The two teams managed only 4 shots on target in total, for 1 goal.
- The volume of chances went no further: 1.17 expected goals in total.
One team ahead at half-time61%held
Draw or Samsunspor ahead at half-time66%lost
Over 2.5 goals56%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableErzurum BB 14th, Samsunspor 16th (Süper Lig)

During the match

During the match45′ opening goal, Erzurum BB (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0

What it changes

In this league, “At least 1 goal before half-time” goes from 75.6% to 76.1% success rate, over 46 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What we announced

4/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

At least 1 goal before half-time71%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 45′ Erzurum BB.
Erzurum BB or draw76%held
- Erzurum BB took the lead in the 45th minute and never let it go.
Under 3.5 goals71%held
- The two teams managed only 4 shots on target in total, for 1 goal.
- The volume of chances went no further: 1.17 expected goals in total.
One team ahead at half-time61%held
Draw or Samsunspor ahead at half-time66%lost
Over 2.5 goals56%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableErzurum BB 14th, Samsunspor 16th (Süper Lig)

During the match

During the match45′ opening goal, Erzurum BB (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0

What it changes

In this league, “At least 1 goal before half-time” goes from 75.6% to 76.1% success rate, over 46 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Süper Lig

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes