Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Süper Lig · Turkey

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Match brought forward

Brought forward to Saturday 19 September at 15:00. Originally planned for Sunday 20 September at 13:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Çorum FK

1-2full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 1–2

Alanyaspor

What Janus-12 said

72%

At least 1 goal before half-time

78% success over 41 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 28 %

A prediction at 72 % fails 28 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: At least 1 goal before half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 00:35.

Sealed on 19/09, 15:00announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

71% success over 41 matches in this league
69%✓
70% success over 43 matches in this league
78%✗
66% success over 41 matches in this league
61%✗
59% success over 39 matches in this league
56%✓
50% success over 20 matches in this league
55%✓
42% success over 43 matches in this league
53%✗

Süper Lig

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Amed	6	4	1	1	+8	13
2	Galatasaray	6	4	1	1	+3	13
3	Besiktas	6	4	0	2	+7	12
4	Kocaelispor	6	4	0	2	+3	12
5	Alanyaspor	6	3	2	1	+2	11
6	Fenerbahce	6	3	1	2	+10	10
7	Trabzonspor	6	3	1	2	+8	10
8	Kasimpasa	6	2	4	0	+2	10
9	Rizespor	6	3	1	2	+1	10
10	Gaziantep	6	2	2	2	0	8
11	Çorum FK	6	2	1	3	+1	7
12	Buyuksehyr	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Genclerbirligi	6	2	1	3	-8	7
14	Erzurum BB	6	2	1	3	-8	7
15	Konyaspor	6	1	1	4	-4	4
16	Samsunspor	6	1	1	4	-6	4
17	Goztep	6	0	3	3	-4	3
18	Eyupspor	6	1	0	5	-14	3

What we announced

3/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

At least 1 goal before half-time72%lost
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Under 3.5 goals69%held
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The two teams managed only 8 shots on target in total, for 3 goals.
Çorum FK or draw78%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Çorum FK had 11 shots against 8, for 1 goal against 2.
One team ahead at half-time61%lost
Draw or Alanyaspor ahead at half-time56%held
Over 2.5 goals55%held
- The chances said so: 2.17 expected goals in total.
- The two teams had 8 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Çorum FK to win53%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableÇorum FK 11th, Alanyaspor 5th (Süper Lig)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match67′ opening goal, Alanyaspor (0-1)
During the match76′ equaliser, Çorum FK (1-1)
During the match79′ Alanyaspor retake the lead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “At least 1 goal before half-time” goes from 78% to 76.2% success rate, over 42 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Çorum FK on the left, Alanyaspor on the right.

First half

28'Yellow card · C. Under
40'Yellow card · S. Saatci

Half-time0 - 0

Second half

46'Substitution · M. Diomande ⇄ A. Ildiz
46'Substitution · S. Saatci ⇄ C. Soyuncu
56'Yellow card · A. Borza
58'Yellow card · A. Ildiz
Substitution · Hwang Ui-Jo ⇄ M. Elia58'
60'Substitution · C. Under ⇄ Y. Moukoko
Goal · G. Makouta (assist : F. Hadergjonaj)67'
71'Substitution · Fredy ⇄ E. Mahmic
Substitution · P. Fernandes ⇄ I. Hagi75'
Substitution · B. Gezek ⇄ I. Kaya75'
Substitution · Bikoue ⇄ A. Usluoglu76'
76'Goal · J. Ramirez (assist : A. Kyziridis)
Goal · A. Usluoglu79'
89'Substitution · A. Borza ⇄ E. Gurluk

What we announced

3/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

At least 1 goal before half-time72%lost
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Under 3.5 goals69%held
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The two teams managed only 8 shots on target in total, for 3 goals.
Çorum FK or draw78%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Çorum FK had 11 shots against 8, for 1 goal against 2.
One team ahead at half-time61%lost
Draw or Alanyaspor ahead at half-time56%held
Over 2.5 goals55%held
- The chances said so: 2.17 expected goals in total.
- The two teams had 8 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Çorum FK to win53%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableÇorum FK 11th, Alanyaspor 5th (Süper Lig)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match67′ opening goal, Alanyaspor (0-1)
During the match76′ equaliser, Çorum FK (1-1)
During the match79′ Alanyaspor retake the lead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “At least 1 goal before half-time” goes from 78% to 76.2% success rate, over 42 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Süper Lig

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes