Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga Panameña de Fútbol · Panama

full time

Sunday, 30 August 2026

San Francisco FC

4-1full timeHT 2–1 · 2H 2–0

Plaza Amador

What Janus-12 said

77%

Draw or Plaza Amador

69% success over 13 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 23 %

A forecast at 77 % fails 23 % of the time: it happened.

Where this market is covered· 8 bookmakers

Market covered: Draw or Plaza Amador

1xBet
BetPawa
Betsson
Betwinner
MelBet
Paripesa
PMUC
SportyBet

We show the implied probability, not the operator's price. Availability checked on 30/08, 04:06.

Sealed on 30/08, 02:30announced on 16/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other forecasts, most reliable first

69% success over 13 matches in this league
82%✗

Apertura

as of 08/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Plaza Amador	11	7	3	1	+10	24
2	CD Arabe Unido	11	6	4	1	+8	22
3	San Francisco FC	11	6	2	3	+8	20
4	Veraguas	11	4	6	1	+2	18
5	UMECIT	11	4	4	3	+1	16
6	Tauro FC	11	4	2	5	+3	14
7	Alianza FC	11	3	5	3	+1	14
8	Sporting San Miguelito	11	3	4	4	-1	13
9	Independiente de La Chorrera	11	2	5	4	-2	11
10	Deportivo Universitario	11	2	5	4	-2	11
11	Herrera	11	2	2	7	-15	8
12	Union Cocle	11	1	2	8	-13	5

What we announced

0/2

Under each forecast, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Plaza Amador77%lost
- Plaza Amador chased the score almost all match: San Francisco FC scored as early as the 5th minute.
- The opposing bench made the difference: the goal in the 70th minute came from a substitute.
Draw or Plaza Amador ahead at half-time82%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 5′ San Francisco FC, 17′ Plaza Amador, 39′ San Francisco FC.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSan Francisco FC 3rd, Plaza Amador 1st (Apertura)

During the match

During the match5′ opening goal, San Francisco FC (1-0)
During the match17′ equaliser, Plaza Amador (1-1)
During the match39′ San Francisco FC retake the lead (2-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match52′ San Francisco FC go 2 goals up (3-1)
Line-up70′ the goal came off the bench: K. Bonilla (San Francisco FC)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Plaza Amador” goes from 69.2% to 64.3% success rate, over 14 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,588 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

San Francisco FC on the left, Plaza Amador on the right.

First half

5'Goal · R. Dinolis
Yellow card · A. Knight15'
Goal · A. Quintero17'
39'Goal · R. Dinolis

Half-time2 - 1

Second half

52'Goal · O. Browne
Substitution · A. Knight ⇄ A. Ryce61'
Substitution · E. Rose ⇄ O. Cordoba61'
Substitution · J. Murillo ⇄ Y. Murillo61'
Substitution · H. Rios ⇄ J. Sanchez61'
62'Substitution · J. Mendez ⇄ K. Bonilla
69'Yellow card · J. Wood
70'Goal · K. Bonilla
72'Substitution · V. Medina ⇄ J. Lopez
72'Substitution · V. Pimentel ⇄ V. Simmons
Substitution · D. Murillo ⇄ J. Lara72'
79'Substitution · R. Dinolis ⇄ A. Popoff
79'Substitution · O. Browne ⇄ S. Palacios

What we announced

0/2

Under each forecast, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Plaza Amador77%lost
- Plaza Amador chased the score almost all match: San Francisco FC scored as early as the 5th minute.
- The opposing bench made the difference: the goal in the 70th minute came from a substitute.
Draw or Plaza Amador ahead at half-time82%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 5′ San Francisco FC, 17′ Plaza Amador, 39′ San Francisco FC.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSan Francisco FC 3rd, Plaza Amador 1st (Apertura)

During the match

During the match5′ opening goal, San Francisco FC (1-0)
During the match17′ equaliser, Plaza Amador (1-1)
During the match39′ San Francisco FC retake the lead (2-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match52′ San Francisco FC go 2 goals up (3-1)
Line-up70′ the goal came off the bench: K. Bonilla (San Francisco FC)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Plaza Amador” goes from 69.2% to 64.3% success rate, over 14 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,588 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes