Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premijer Liga · Bosnia

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 19 September at 15:00. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 15/09.

BSK Banja Luka

4–4full timeHT 1–2 · 2H 3–2

Radnik Bijeljina

What Janus-12 said

75%

Under 3.5 goals

80% success over 30 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 25 %

A prediction at 75 % fails 25 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 3.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 19/09, 03:40.

Sealed on 19/09, 15:00announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

77% success over 30 matches in this league
83%✓
63% success over 27 matches in this league
54%✗
61% success over 23 matches in this league
59%✓
53% success over 30 matches in this league
60%✗

Premier Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Zrinjski	8	7	0	1	+12	21
2	Borac Banja Luka	8	6	1	1	+8	19
3	FK Sarajevo	8	4	1	3	+1	13
4	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	8	3	3	2	+1	12
5	Siroki Brijeg	8	2	3	3	-1	9
6	Sloga Doboj	8	2	3	3	-3	9
7	Čelik	8	2	2	4	-1	8
8	BSK Banja Luka	8	2	2	4	-2	8
9	Velež	8	2	1	5	-8	7
10	Radnik Bijeljina	8	0	4	4	-7	4

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 3.5 goals75%lost
BSK Banja Luka or draw83%held
- Radnik Bijeljina played 9 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 81st minute.
Under 2.5 goals54%lost
Draw or Radnik Bijeljina ahead at half-time59%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 24′ Radnik Bijeljina, 38′ BSK Banja Luka, 40′ Radnik Bijeljina.
BSK Banja Luka to win60%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Radnik Bijeljina scored in the 85th minute.
- BSK Banja Luka chased the score almost all match: Radnik Bijeljina scored as early as the 24th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBSK Banja Luka 8th, Radnik Bijeljina 10th (Premier Liga)

During the match

During the match24′ opening goal, Radnik Bijeljina (0-1)
During the match38′ equaliser, BSK Banja Luka (1-1)
During the match40′ Radnik Bijeljina retake the lead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match59′ equaliser, BSK Banja Luka (2-2)
During the match65′ Radnik Bijeljina retake the lead (2-3)
During the match81′ sending-off, Radnik Bijeljina (S. Radovic)
During the match85′ Radnik Bijeljina go 2 goals up (2-4)
During the match90′ BSK Banja Luka come back from 2 goals down (4-4)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 3.5 goals” goes from 80% to 77.4% success rate, over 31 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

BSK Banja Luka on the left, Radnik Bijeljina on the right.

First half

Yellow card · D. Teodorovic14'
Goal · A. Konate24'
Substitution · B. Dimitric ⇄ A. Markovic34'
38'Goal · S. Marcetic
Goal · D. Teodorovic40'
Yellow card · M. Sukilovic45+1'

Half-time1 – 2

Second half

Yellow card · M. Andacic52'
Yellow card · A. Markovic58'
59'Goal · A. Subic
Goal · D. Teodorovic65'
Substitution · V. Bradonjic ⇄ T. B. Laus67'
72'Yellow card · Z. Kvrzic
Yellow card · T. B. Laus72'
Yellow card · S. Radovic72'
Substitution · D. Teodorovic ⇄ A. Ijoma77'
Yellow card · S. Radovic81'
Red card · S. Radovic81'
Goal · A. Ijoma85'
90+1'Goal · S. Marcetic
90+3'Yellow card
90+6'Goal · O. Radosevic

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 3.5 goals75%lost
BSK Banja Luka or draw83%held
- Radnik Bijeljina played 9 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 81st minute.
Under 2.5 goals54%lost
Draw or Radnik Bijeljina ahead at half-time59%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 24′ Radnik Bijeljina, 38′ BSK Banja Luka, 40′ Radnik Bijeljina.
BSK Banja Luka to win60%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Radnik Bijeljina scored in the 85th minute.
- BSK Banja Luka chased the score almost all match: Radnik Bijeljina scored as early as the 24th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBSK Banja Luka 8th, Radnik Bijeljina 10th (Premier Liga)

During the match

During the match24′ opening goal, Radnik Bijeljina (0-1)
During the match38′ equaliser, BSK Banja Luka (1-1)
During the match40′ Radnik Bijeljina retake the lead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match59′ equaliser, BSK Banja Luka (2-2)
During the match65′ Radnik Bijeljina retake the lead (2-3)
During the match81′ sending-off, Radnik Bijeljina (S. Radovic)
During the match85′ Radnik Bijeljina go 2 goals up (2-4)
During the match90′ BSK Banja Luka come back from 2 goals down (4-4)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 3.5 goals” goes from 80% to 77.4% success rate, over 31 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes