Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League (Malta) · Malta

full time

Friday, 18 September 2026

Birkirkara

0–2full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 0–1

Zabbar St. Patrick

What Janus-12 said

75%

Birkirkara or draw

79% success over 28 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 25 %

A prediction at 75 % fails 25 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 3 bookmakers

Bet offered: Birkirkara or draw

1xBet
PMUC
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 18/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 18/09, 17:00announced on 04/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

67% success over 27 matches in this league
67%✓

Premier Division: First stage - Main

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Floriana	6	4	1	1	+9	13
2	Valletta FC	6	4	1	1	+9	13
3	Marsaxlokk	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Birkirkara	6	3	1	2	+5	10
5	Hamrun Spartans	6	3	1	2	+3	10
6	Mosta	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	Sliema Wanderers	6	3	1	2	0	10
8	Balzan FC	6	2	3	1	+3	9
9	Zabbar St. Patrick	6	1	2	3	-4	5
10	Hibernians	6	1	2	3	-5	5
11	Gzira United	5	0	1	4	-11	1
12	Birzebbuga	6	0	0	6	-13	0

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Birkirkara or draw75%lost
Draw or Zabbar St. Patrick ahead at half-time67%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 43′ Birkirkara.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBirkirkara 4th, Zabbar St. Patrick 9th (Premier Division: First stage - Main)

During the match

During the match43′ opening goal, Birkirkara (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match90′ Birkirkara go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Birkirkara or draw” goes from 78.6% to 75.9% success rate, over 29 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,074 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Birkirkara on the left, Zabbar St. Patrick on the right.

First half

Yellow card · S. Jovancic41'
43'Penalty goal · F. Sasere

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

Substitution · Joao Mafra ⇄ N. Lancioni46'
Substitution · M. Fontanella ⇄ T. Melillo46'
46'Substitution · Fernandinho ⇄ A. Djordjevic
75'Yellow card · Jefferson Vinicius
79'Substitution · Jefferson Vinicius ⇄ Kadu
79'Substitution · Amarildo ⇄ L. Pahama
Substitution · Z. Leonardi ⇄ T. Moriceau79'
83'Yellow card · Frazan
Yellow card · T. Moriceau90'
Substitution · P. F. Gouhon ⇄ A. Agyeman90'
90+1'Goal · Pablo Gabriel
Substitution · S. Magri ⇄ K. Fenech90+8'

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Birkirkara or draw75%lost
Draw or Zabbar St. Patrick ahead at half-time67%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 43′ Birkirkara.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBirkirkara 4th, Zabbar St. Patrick 9th (Premier Division: First stage - Main)

During the match

During the match43′ opening goal, Birkirkara (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match90′ Birkirkara go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Birkirkara or draw” goes from 78.6% to 75.9% success rate, over 29 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,074 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier Division: First stage - Main

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes