Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League (Malta) · Malta

full time

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Marsaxlokk

2–5full timeHT 1–3 · 2H 1–2

Floriana

What Janus-12 said

77%

Draw or Floriana

79% success over 24 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 5 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Floriana

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 12/09, 16:37.

Sealed on 12/09, 19:30announced on 30/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

61% success over 23 matches in this league
82%✓
38% success over 24 matches in this league
51%✓

Premier Division: First stage - Main

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Floriana	6	4	1	1	+9	13
2	Valletta FC	6	4	1	1	+9	13
3	Marsaxlokk	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Birkirkara	6	3	1	2	+5	10
5	Hamrun Spartans	6	3	1	2	+3	10
6	Mosta	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	Sliema Wanderers	6	3	1	2	0	10
8	Balzan FC	6	2	3	1	+3	9
9	Zabbar St. Patrick	6	1	2	3	-4	5
10	Hibernians	6	1	2	3	-5	5
11	Gzira United	5	0	1	4	-11	1
12	Birzebbuga	6	0	0	6	-13	0

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Floriana77%held
- Floriana held on with ten men for 15 minutes (sent off in the 75th minute), and the prediction held with them.
- Floriana took control early: opening goal in the 22nd minute.
Draw or Floriana ahead at half-time82%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-3 at half-time, 9′ Marsaxlokk, 22′ Floriana, 32′ Marsaxlokk, 37′ Marsaxlokk.
Floriana to win51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMarsaxlokk 3rd, Floriana 1st (Premier Division: First stage - Main)

During the match

During the match9′ opening goal, Marsaxlokk (1-0)
During the match22′ equaliser, Floriana (1-1)
During the match32′ Marsaxlokk retake the lead (2-1)
During the match37′ Marsaxlokk go 2 goals up (3-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-3
During the match75′ sending-off, Floriana (Y. Jbira)
During the match84′ last goal, Marsaxlokk

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Floriana” goes from 79.2% to 80% success rate, over 25 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,949 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Marsaxlokk on the left, Floriana on the right.

First half

9'Goal · R. Linden
Missed penalty · R. Muric (assist : R. Muric)21'
Goal · F. Varela22'
32'Goal · M. Garcia
37'Goal · U. Arias

Half-time1 – 3

Second half

Substitution · R. Muric ⇄ S. Odey46'
Substitution · M. Beerman ⇄ D. Vella53'
Substitution · A. C. N Dri ⇄ Y. Jbira53'
Substitution · A. Drina ⇄ Kauan57'
58'Penalty goal · J. Minala
Goal · C. Zammit Lonardelli61'
65'Substitution · U. Arias ⇄ D. Simkus
71'Substitution · R. Linden ⇄ S. Smajlagic
71'Substitution · Dodo ⇄ R. Mihana
Yellow card73'
Red card · Y. Jbira75'
78'Yellow card · J. Minala
80'Substitution · N. Muscat ⇄ L. Caruana
80'Substitution · M. Garcia ⇄ T. Caruana
84'Goal · S. Smajlagic
Substitution · T. Gudelj ⇄ D. Attard88'

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Floriana77%held
- Floriana held on with ten men for 15 minutes (sent off in the 75th minute), and the prediction held with them.
- Floriana took control early: opening goal in the 22nd minute.
Draw or Floriana ahead at half-time82%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-3 at half-time, 9′ Marsaxlokk, 22′ Floriana, 32′ Marsaxlokk, 37′ Marsaxlokk.
Floriana to win51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMarsaxlokk 3rd, Floriana 1st (Premier Division: First stage - Main)

During the match

During the match9′ opening goal, Marsaxlokk (1-0)
During the match22′ equaliser, Floriana (1-1)
During the match32′ Marsaxlokk retake the lead (2-1)
During the match37′ Marsaxlokk go 2 goals up (3-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-3
During the match75′ sending-off, Floriana (Y. Jbira)
During the match84′ last goal, Marsaxlokk

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Floriana” goes from 79.2% to 80% success rate, over 25 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,949 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier Division: First stage - Main

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes