Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League (Malta) · Malta

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Marsaxlokk

1–1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 0–0

Mosta

What Janus-12 said

77%

Marsaxlokk or draw

79% success over 19 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Marsaxlokk or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 05/09, 19:30announced on 22/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

56% success over 18 matches in this league
66%✓

Premier Division: First stage - Main

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Floriana	6	4	1	1	+9	13
2	Valletta FC	6	4	1	1	+9	13
3	Marsaxlokk	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Birkirkara	6	3	1	2	+5	10
5	Hamrun Spartans	6	3	1	2	+3	10
6	Mosta	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	Sliema Wanderers	6	3	1	2	0	10
8	Balzan FC	6	2	3	1	+3	9
9	Zabbar St. Patrick	6	1	2	3	-4	5
10	Hibernians	6	1	2	3	-5	5
11	Gzira United	5	0	1	4	-11	1
12	Birzebbuga	6	0	0	6	-13	0

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Marsaxlokk or draw77%held
- Marsaxlokk took control early: opening goal in the 11th minute.
Draw or Mosta ahead at half-time66%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 5′ Mosta, 11′ Marsaxlokk.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMarsaxlokk 3rd, Mosta 6th (Premier Division: First stage - Main)

During the match

During the match5′ opening goal, Mosta (0-1)
During the match11′ equaliser, Marsaxlokk (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1

What it changes

In this league, “Marsaxlokk or draw” goes from 78.9% to 80% success rate, over 20 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,299 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Marsaxlokk on the left, Mosta on the right.

First half

Goal · Pedro Cacho5'
11'Goal · R. Linden
Substitution · Pedro Cacho ⇄ E. Ugwu15'

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

Yellow card · K. Zammit55'
64'Yellow card · J. Minala
72'Yellow card
73'Substitution · R. Linden ⇄ R. Mihana
73'Substitution · M. Garcia ⇄ D. Simkus
73'Substitution · Dodo ⇄ S. Smajlagic
Substitution · G. Acheampong ⇄ E. Agyiri74'
Substitution · N. Portelli ⇄ P. Ohaka74'
Substitution · O. Ezejiofor ⇄ E. Ebere75'
84'Substitution · N. Muscat ⇄ L. Caruana
84'Substitution · U. Arias ⇄ E. Attard
Substitution · E. Agyiri ⇄ Wanderson Gotinha90+2'

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Marsaxlokk or draw77%held
- Marsaxlokk took control early: opening goal in the 11th minute.
Draw or Mosta ahead at half-time66%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 5′ Mosta, 11′ Marsaxlokk.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMarsaxlokk 3rd, Mosta 6th (Premier Division: First stage - Main)

During the match

During the match5′ opening goal, Mosta (0-1)
During the match11′ equaliser, Marsaxlokk (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1

What it changes

In this league, “Marsaxlokk or draw” goes from 78.9% to 80% success rate, over 20 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,299 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier Division: First stage - Main

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes