Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Persha Liga · Ukraine

full time

Friday, 2 October 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Friday 2 October at 12:00. Originally planned for Saturday 3 October at 17:00.

Change noted on 24/09.

SK Poltava

3–2full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 2–1

Chernihiv

What Janus-12 said

79%

SK Poltava or draw

71% success over 42 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: SK Poltava or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 02/10, 04:39.

Sealed on 02/10, 12:00announced on 20/09/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

59% success over 41 matches in this league
60%✓
55% success over 42 matches in this league
54%✓

Persha Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	10	6	2	2	+6	20
2	Oleksandria	10	5	4	1	+8	19
3	SK Poltava	10	5	3	2	+9	18
4	Kulykiv	10	5	2	3	+9	17
5	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	10	5	2	3	+3	17
6	Prykarpattia	10	4	3	3	+3	15
7	Yarud Mariupol'	10	4	3	3	+1	15
8	Metal Kharkiv	10	4	2	4	0	14
9	Inhulets	9	4	2	3	-1	14
10	Lokomotiv Kyiv	10	3	4	3	0	13
11	Kolos Kovalivka II	10	4	0	6	-6	12
12	Nyva Ternopil	10	2	5	3	0	11
13	UCSA	10	2	4	4	-3	10
14	Chernihiv	9	1	4	4	-4	7
15	Polissya II	10	1	4	5	-6	7
16	Probiy Horodenka	10	1	2	7	-19	5

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

SK Poltava or draw79%held
- SK Poltava took control early: opening goal in the 21st minute.
Draw or Chernihiv ahead at half-time60%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 2′ Chernihiv, 21′ SK Poltava.
SK Poltava to win54%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSK Poltava 3rd, Chernihiv 14th (Persha Liga)

During the match

During the match2′ opening goal, Chernihiv (0-1)
During the match21′ equaliser, SK Poltava (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match53′ Chernihiv retake the lead (1-2)
During the match68′ equaliser, SK Poltava (2-2)
During the match72′ turnaround, SK Poltava go ahead (3-2)

What it changes

In this league, “SK Poltava or draw” goes from 71.4% to 72.1% success rate, over 43 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,002 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

SK Poltava on the left, Chernihiv on the right.

First half

Goal · S. Galoyan2'
21'Goal · M. Kononov

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

Goal · M. Serdyuk53'
59'Substitution · D. Blagodarnyi ⇄ V. Danylenko
68'Goal · D. Kasimov
72'Goal · S. Seytkhalilov
Yellow card · A. Romanchenko74'
Substitution · M. Serdyuk ⇄ A. Bybik75'
Substitution · A. Novikov ⇄ A. Porokhnya75'
Substitution · S. Galoyan ⇄ V. Rogozynskyi75'
84'Yellow card · S. Seytkhalilov
Yellow card · A. Bybik84'
87'Substitution · B. Kobzar ⇄ O. Vivdych
87'Substitution · V. Odaryuk ⇄ I. Kotsyumaka
87'Substitution · D. Galenkov ⇄ Y. Tlumak
90'Yellow card · M. Buzhyn
Yellow card · Y. Kartushov90'
90'Yellow card

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

SK Poltava or draw79%held
- SK Poltava took control early: opening goal in the 21st minute.
Draw or Chernihiv ahead at half-time60%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 2′ Chernihiv, 21′ SK Poltava.
SK Poltava to win54%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSK Poltava 3rd, Chernihiv 14th (Persha Liga)

During the match

During the match2′ opening goal, Chernihiv (0-1)
During the match21′ equaliser, SK Poltava (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match53′ Chernihiv retake the lead (1-2)
During the match68′ equaliser, SK Poltava (2-2)
During the match72′ turnaround, SK Poltava go ahead (3-2)

What it changes

In this league, “SK Poltava or draw” goes from 71.4% to 72.1% success rate, over 43 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,002 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Persha Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes