Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Persha Liga · Ukraine

full time

Saturday, 3 October 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 3 October at 10:30. Originally planned for Saturday 3 October at 17:00.

Change noted on 24/09.

Lokomotiv Kyiv

3–3full timeHT 2–1 · 2H 1–2

Polissya II

What Janus-12 said

80%

Lokomotiv Kyiv or draw

72% success over 43 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Lokomotiv Kyiv or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 03/10, 04:42.

Sealed on 03/10, 10:30announced on 20/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

60% success over 42 matches in this league
59%✗
56% success over 43 matches in this league
56%✗

Persha Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	10	6	2	2	+6	20
2	Oleksandria	10	5	4	1	+8	19
3	SK Poltava	10	5	3	2	+9	18
4	Kulykiv	10	5	2	3	+9	17
5	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	10	5	2	3	+3	17
6	Prykarpattia	10	4	3	3	+3	15
7	Yarud Mariupol'	10	4	3	3	+1	15
8	Metal Kharkiv	10	4	2	4	0	14
9	Inhulets	9	4	2	3	-1	14
10	Lokomotiv Kyiv	10	3	4	3	0	13
11	Kolos Kovalivka II	10	4	0	6	-6	12
12	Nyva Ternopil	10	2	5	3	0	11
13	UCSA	10	2	4	4	-3	10
14	Chernihiv	9	1	4	4	-4	7
15	Polissya II	10	1	4	5	-6	7
16	Probiy Horodenka	10	1	2	7	-19	5

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Lokomotiv Kyiv or draw80%held
- Lokomotiv Kyiv took control early: opening goal in the 15th minute.
Draw or Polissya II ahead at half-time59%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 7′ Polissya II, 15′ Lokomotiv Kyiv, 21′ Lokomotiv Kyiv.
Lokomotiv Kyiv to win56%lost
- Lokomotiv Kyiv chased the score almost all match: Polissya II scored as early as the 7th minute.
- It all came down to the final minutes: Polissya II scored in the 85th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLokomotiv Kyiv 10th, Polissya II 15th (Persha Liga)

During the match

During the match7′ opening goal, Polissya II (0-1)
During the match15′ equaliser, Lokomotiv Kyiv (1-1)
During the match21′ turnaround, Lokomotiv Kyiv go ahead (2-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match56′ turnaround, Lokomotiv Kyiv go ahead (3-1)
During the match85′ Polissya II come back from 2 goals down (3-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Lokomotiv Kyiv or draw” goes from 72.1% to 72.7% success rate, over 44 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Lokomotiv Kyiv on the left, Polissya II on the right.

First half

Goal · B. Kovalenko7'
15'Goal · R. Savchenko
21'Goal · S. Myakushko
Substitution · V. Mezentsev ⇄ S. Cherchukan43'

Half-time2 – 1

Second half

56'Penalty goal · O. Sakhnenko
59'Yellow card · O. Sakhnenko
62'Substitution · A. Golovatenko ⇄ V. Tymenko
63'Yellow card · O. Savchuk
73'Substitution · O. Savchuk ⇄ S. Ikenna
73'Substitution · S. Myakushko ⇄ V. Churko
Substitution · B. Kovalenko ⇄ R. Babych78'
Goal79'
Goal85'
87'Substitution · Y. Yarmak ⇄ R. Tkachenko
Substitution · O. Kostrytsya ⇄ D. Prykhodko90+1'

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Lokomotiv Kyiv or draw80%held
- Lokomotiv Kyiv took control early: opening goal in the 15th minute.
Draw or Polissya II ahead at half-time59%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 7′ Polissya II, 15′ Lokomotiv Kyiv, 21′ Lokomotiv Kyiv.
Lokomotiv Kyiv to win56%lost
- Lokomotiv Kyiv chased the score almost all match: Polissya II scored as early as the 7th minute.
- It all came down to the final minutes: Polissya II scored in the 85th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLokomotiv Kyiv 10th, Polissya II 15th (Persha Liga)

During the match

During the match7′ opening goal, Polissya II (0-1)
During the match15′ equaliser, Lokomotiv Kyiv (1-1)
During the match21′ turnaround, Lokomotiv Kyiv go ahead (2-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match56′ turnaround, Lokomotiv Kyiv go ahead (3-1)
During the match85′ Polissya II come back from 2 goals down (3-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Lokomotiv Kyiv or draw” goes from 72.1% to 72.7% success rate, over 44 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Persha Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes