Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Piratas

2–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–1

Venados FC

What Janus-12 said

75%

Piratas or draw

79% success over 38 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Piratas or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 18/09, 21:36.

Sealed on 19/09, 02:00announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Primera A: Apertura

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Leones Negros UDG	11	7	2	2	+11	23
2	Monarcas	11	7	1	3	+9	22
3	CA La Paz	11	6	2	3	+11	20
4	Venados FC	11	6	1	4	+5	19
5	Piratas	11	5	3	3	+6	18
6	Mineros de Zacatecas	11	5	2	4	+4	17
7	Cancún	11	5	2	4	+4	17
8	Durango	11	5	2	4	0	17
9	Correcaminos Uat	11	4	4	3	+1	16
10	Tapatío	10	4	2	4	+2	14
11	Dorados	11	3	4	4	0	13
12	Tlaxcala	11	3	3	5	-4	12
13	CDS Tampico Madero	11	3	2	6	-7	11
14	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	11	3	1	7	-14	10
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	11	1	5	5	-7	8
16	Tepatitlán	10	2	0	8	-21	6

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Piratas or draw75%held
- Piratas took the lead in the 63rd minute and never let it go.

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePiratas 5th, Venados FC 4th (Primera A: Apertura)

During the match

During the match36′ opening goal, Piratas (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match54′ equaliser, Venados FC (1-1)
During the match63′ Piratas retake the lead (2-1)
During the match87′ sending-off, Venados FC (A. Dominguez)

What it changes

In this league, “Piratas or draw” goes from 78.9% to 79.5% success rate, over 39 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,166 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Piratas on the left, Venados FC on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Ochoa Brandon2'
Yellow card · S. Lora24'
36'Goal · J. Gamboa
40'Missed penalty · O. Soto (assist : O. Soto)
Yellow card · S. Saucedo45+6'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Substitution · Ochoa Brandon ⇄ J. Reyes46'
Substitution · M. Torres ⇄ D. Tejeda46'
46'Yellow card · R. Gonzalez
52'Yellow card · F. Garcia
Own goal · K. Y. Jaime Sanchez54'
Substitution · J. A. Moreno Villegas ⇄ E. Torres58'
59'Substitution · F. Garcia ⇄ C. Fernandez
63'Penalty goal · J. Clemente
64'Yellow card · C. Fernandez
Substitution · S. Saucedo ⇄ J. Cruz65'
Substitution · S. Naveda ⇄ K. Amador72'
76'Yellow card · O. Soto
77'Substitution · D. Lajud Martinez ⇄ I. Doumbouya
77'Substitution · B. Figueroa ⇄ G. Lopez
80'Yellow card · U. Garcia
84'Substitution · O. Soto ⇄ J. Venegas
84'Substitution · J. Clemente ⇄ R. Palomares
Red card · A. Dominguez87'

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Piratas or draw75%held
- Piratas took the lead in the 63rd minute and never let it go.

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePiratas 5th, Venados FC 4th (Primera A: Apertura)

During the match

During the match36′ opening goal, Piratas (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match54′ equaliser, Venados FC (1-1)
During the match63′ Piratas retake the lead (2-1)
During the match87′ sending-off, Venados FC (A. Dominguez)

What it changes

In this league, “Piratas or draw” goes from 78.9% to 79.5% success rate, over 39 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,166 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera A: Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes