Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico

full time

Friday, 11 September 2026

Match brought forward

Brought forward to Friday 11 September at 19:00. Originally planned for Friday 11 September at 22:45.

Change noted on 03/09.

Cruz Azul Hidalgo

1-1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 0–0

Piratas

What Janus-12 said

77%

Cruz Azul Hidalgo or draw

83% success over 29 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Cruz Azul Hidalgo or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 11/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 11/09, 19:00announced on 29/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Primera A: Apertura

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Leones Negros UDG	11	7	2	2	+11	23
2	Monarcas	11	7	1	3	+9	22
3	CA La Paz	11	6	2	3	+11	20
4	Venados FC	11	6	1	4	+5	19
5	Piratas	11	5	3	3	+6	18
6	Mineros de Zacatecas	11	5	2	4	+4	17
7	Cancún	11	5	2	4	+4	17
8	Durango	11	5	2	4	0	17
9	Correcaminos Uat	11	4	4	3	+1	16
10	Tapatío	10	4	2	4	+2	14
11	Dorados	11	3	4	4	0	13
12	Tlaxcala	11	3	3	5	-4	12
13	CDS Tampico Madero	11	3	2	6	-7	11
14	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	11	3	1	7	-14	10
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	11	1	5	5	-7	8
16	Tepatitlán	10	2	0	8	-21	6

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Cruz Azul Hidalgo or draw77%held
- Piratas played 45 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 45th minute.
- Cruz Azul Hidalgo were never behind.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCruz Azul Hidalgo 15th, Piratas 5th (Primera A: Apertura)

During the match

During the match33′ opening goal, Cruz Azul Hidalgo (1-0)
During the match36′ equaliser, Piratas (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match45′ sending-off, Piratas (A. Lopez)
During the match88′ sending-off, Cruz Azul Hidalgo (E. Villegas)
During the match90′ sending-off, Cruz Azul Hidalgo (R. Rubio)

What it changes

In this league, “Cruz Azul Hidalgo or draw” goes from 82.8% to 83.3% success rate, over 30 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Cruz Azul Hidalgo on the left, Piratas on the right.

First half

10'Yellow card · D. Ramirez
33'Goal · E. Castaneda
36'Substitution · D. Ramirez ⇄ E. Villegas
Goal · O. Soto (assist : R. Palomares)36'
Yellow card · B. Figueroa42'
Yellow card · O. Soto43'
Red card · A. Lopez45'
45'Yellow card · R. Rubio

Half-time1 - 1

Second half

58'Substitution · C. Valdivia ⇄ D. Valdez
58'Substitution · V. Taboada ⇄ X. Camacho
58'Substitution · E. Castaneda ⇄ S. Espinosa
67'Substitution · A. Cubillas ⇄ C. Leon
Substitution · J. Gamboa ⇄ U. Garcia76'
88'Red card · E. Villegas
90'Yellow card · D. Valdez
Yellow card · U. Garcia90'
Yellow card90'
Substitution · C. Fernandez ⇄ D. Lajud Martinez90+3'
90+7'Yellow card · R. Rubio
90+7'Red card · R. Rubio

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Cruz Azul Hidalgo or draw77%held
- Piratas played 45 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 45th minute.
- Cruz Azul Hidalgo were never behind.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCruz Azul Hidalgo 15th, Piratas 5th (Primera A: Apertura)

During the match

During the match33′ opening goal, Cruz Azul Hidalgo (1-0)
During the match36′ equaliser, Piratas (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match45′ sending-off, Piratas (A. Lopez)
During the match88′ sending-off, Cruz Azul Hidalgo (E. Villegas)
During the match90′ sending-off, Cruz Azul Hidalgo (R. Rubio)

What it changes

In this league, “Cruz Azul Hidalgo or draw” goes from 82.8% to 83.3% success rate, over 30 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera A: Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes