Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico

full time

Sunday, 30 August 2026

Leones Negros UDG

1-1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 0–0

Piratas

What Janus-12 said

80%

Leones Negros UDG or draw

79% success over 19 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Leones Negros UDG or draw

1xBet
BetPawa
Betsson
Betwinner
MelBet
Paripesa
PMUC
SportyBet

Open a Betwinner account

Promo code: janus-12

Partner link: Janus-12 is paid for accounts opened with this link or code.

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 30/08, 15:40.

Sealed on 30/08, 19:00announced on 16/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

47% success over 19 matches in this league
51%✗

Primera A: Apertura

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Leones Negros UDG	11	7	2	2	+11	23
2	Monarcas	11	7	1	3	+9	22
3	CA La Paz	11	6	2	3	+11	20
4	Venados FC	11	6	1	4	+5	19
5	Piratas	11	5	3	3	+6	18
6	Mineros de Zacatecas	11	5	2	4	+4	17
7	Cancún	11	5	2	4	+4	17
8	Durango	11	5	2	4	0	17
9	Correcaminos Uat	11	4	4	3	+1	16
10	Tapatío	10	4	2	4	+2	14
11	Dorados	11	3	4	4	0	13
12	Tlaxcala	11	3	3	5	-4	12
13	CDS Tampico Madero	11	3	2	6	-7	11
14	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	11	3	1	7	-14	10
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	11	1	5	5	-7	8
16	Tepatitlán	10	2	0	8	-21	6

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Leones Negros UDG or draw80%held
- Leones Negros UDG held on with ten men for 33 minutes (sent off in the 57th minute), and the prediction held with them.
- Leones Negros UDG were never behind.
Leones Negros UDG to win51%lost
- Leones Negros UDG finished with ten men: sent off in the 57th minute, 33 minutes a man down.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLeones Negros UDG 1st, Piratas 5th (Primera A: Apertura)

During the match

During the match23′ opening goal, Leones Negros UDG (1-0)
During the match45′ equaliser, Piratas (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match57′ sending-off, Leones Negros UDG (U. Torres)

What it changes

In this league, “Leones Negros UDG or draw” goes from 78.9% to 80% success rate, over 20 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,738 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Leones Negros UDG on the left, Piratas on the right.

First half

Yellow card · R. Palomares12'
23'Own goal · O. Soto
42'Yellow card · U. Torres
43'Yellow card · J. Aguayo
Penalty goal · O. Soto45+1'

Half-time1 - 1

Second half

57'Yellow card · U. Torres
57'Red card · U. Torres
61'Substitution · O. Gil ⇄ L. Sepulveda
61'Substitution · J. Brigido ⇄ J. Perez
Substitution · F. Garcia ⇄ I. Doumbouya71'
Substitution · G. Lopez ⇄ J. Clemente72'
82'Substitution · L. Razo ⇄ J. Cazares
82'Substitution · A. De Jesus Bravo Santiago ⇄ A. Carreon
86'Substitution · S. A. Hernandez ⇄ K. Loera
Substitution · C. Fernandez ⇄ A. Enciso87'
Substitution · R. Gonzalez ⇄ K. Y. Jaime Sanchez87'
Substitution · J. Gamboa ⇄ E. Ochoa90+3'

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Leones Negros UDG or draw80%held
- Leones Negros UDG held on with ten men for 33 minutes (sent off in the 57th minute), and the prediction held with them.
- Leones Negros UDG were never behind.
Leones Negros UDG to win51%lost
- Leones Negros UDG finished with ten men: sent off in the 57th minute, 33 minutes a man down.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLeones Negros UDG 1st, Piratas 5th (Primera A: Apertura)

During the match

During the match23′ opening goal, Leones Negros UDG (1-0)
During the match45′ equaliser, Piratas (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match57′ sending-off, Leones Negros UDG (U. Torres)

What it changes

In this league, “Leones Negros UDG or draw” goes from 78.9% to 80% success rate, over 20 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,738 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera A: Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes