Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico

full time

Sunday, 27 September 2026

Dorados

0–1full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 0–1

Durango

What Janus-12 said

71%

Dorados or draw

84% success over 50 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 29 %

A prediction at 71 % fails 29 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Dorados or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 26/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 27/09, 02:00announced on 13/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Primera A: Apertura

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Leones Negros UDG	11	7	2	2	+11	23
2	Monarcas	11	7	1	3	+9	22
3	CA La Paz	11	6	2	3	+11	20
4	Venados FC	11	6	1	4	+5	19
5	Piratas	11	5	3	3	+6	18
6	Mineros de Zacatecas	11	5	2	4	+4	17
7	Cancún	11	5	2	4	+4	17
8	Durango	11	5	2	4	0	17
9	Correcaminos Uat	11	4	4	3	+1	16
10	Tapatío	10	4	2	4	+2	14
11	Dorados	11	3	4	4	0	13
12	Tlaxcala	11	3	3	5	-4	12
13	CDS Tampico Madero	11	3	2	6	-7	11
14	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	11	3	1	7	-14	10
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	11	1	5	5	-7	8
16	Tepatitlán	10	2	0	8	-21	6

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Dorados or draw71%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDorados 11th, Durango 8th (Primera A: Apertura)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match63′ opening goal, Durango (0-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Dorados or draw” goes from 84% to 82.4% success rate, over 51 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,960 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Dorados on the left, Durango on the right.

First half

44'Yellow card · O. Coronel

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

46'Substitution · A. Flores ⇄ C. Leyva
Substitution · J. Angulo ⇄ L. Gutierrez46'
46'Substitution · G. Padilla ⇄ D. Guajardo
50'Yellow card · D. Guajardo
Yellow card · L. Gutierrez57'
60'Substitution · L. Vargas ⇄ B. Ordorica
Yellow card · A. Garcia62'
Goal · J. I. Reyes Olguin63'
Yellow card · J. I. Reyes Olguin64'
Yellow card · S. Flores65'
Substitution · J. I. Reyes Olguin ⇄ A. Ontiveros71'
Substitution · A. Escoboza ⇄ A. Valenzuela71'
Substitution · A. Garcia ⇄ L. Lorona71'
76'Yellow card · C. Castro
Substitution · J. Gonzalez ⇄ C. Vega Hernandez79'
79'Substitution · F. Contreras ⇄ B. Sanchez
79'Substitution · D. Osuna ⇄ C. Galicia
82'Yellow card · B. Ordorica

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Dorados or draw71%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDorados 11th, Durango 8th (Primera A: Apertura)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match63′ opening goal, Durango (0-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Dorados or draw” goes from 84% to 82.4% success rate, over 51 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,960 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera A: Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes