Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Cancún

3–0full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 3–0

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

What Janus-12 said

82%

Cancún or draw

80% success over 41 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Cancún or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 19/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 20/09, 02:00announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

49% success over 41 matches in this league
59%✓

Primera A: Apertura

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Leones Negros UDG	11	7	2	2	+11	23
2	Monarcas	11	7	1	3	+9	22
3	CA La Paz	11	6	2	3	+11	20
4	Venados FC	11	6	1	4	+5	19
5	Piratas	11	5	3	3	+6	18
6	Mineros de Zacatecas	11	5	2	4	+4	17
7	Cancún	11	5	2	4	+4	17
8	Durango	11	5	2	4	0	17
9	Correcaminos Uat	11	4	4	3	+1	16
10	Tapatío	10	4	2	4	+2	14
11	Dorados	11	3	4	4	0	13
12	Tlaxcala	11	3	3	5	-4	12
13	CDS Tampico Madero	11	3	2	6	-7	11
14	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	11	3	1	7	-14	10
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	11	1	5	5	-7	8
16	Tepatitlán	10	2	0	8	-21	6

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Cancún or draw82%held
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca played 13 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 77th minute.
- Cancún took the lead in the 71st minute and never let it go.
Cancún to win59%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCancún 7th, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 14th (Primera A: Apertura)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match71′ opening goal, Cancún (1-0)
During the match72′ Cancún go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match77′ sending-off, Alebrijes de Oaxaca (A. Arellano)
During the match81′ last goal, Cancún

What it changes

In this league, “Cancún or draw” goes from 80.5% to 81% success rate, over 42 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Cancún on the left, Alebrijes de Oaxaca on the right.

First half

Yellow card · J. Bustos29'
Yellow card · K. Alvarez29'
37'Yellow card · C. Trejo
38'Yellow card · D. Guillen
Yellow card · P. Villa45+5'

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

46'Substitution · A. Arredondo ⇄ F. Melendre
46'Substitution · G. Preciado ⇄ A. Chavez
Substitution · P. Villa ⇄ A. Justo46'
54'Yellow card · F. Melendre
Yellow card · D. Martinez56'
59'Substitution · P. Uscanga ⇄ L. Lopez
71'Goal · K. Campos (assist : A. Chavez)
Substitution · A. Hernandez ⇄ I. Barreda72'
72'Goal · J. Rodriguez (assist : C. Trejo)
Red card · A. Arellano77'
81'Penalty goal · C. Trejo
82'Substitution · K. Campos ⇄ C. Vela
Substitution · A. Tecpanecatl ⇄ B. Fadika82'
Substitution · D. Collazo ⇄ J. Gonzalez82'
86'Substitution · A. Alvarez ⇄ C. Salaya De La Cruz
Substitution · D. Martinez ⇄ W. Torres86'

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Cancún or draw82%held
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca played 13 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 77th minute.
- Cancún took the lead in the 71st minute and never let it go.
Cancún to win59%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCancún 7th, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 14th (Primera A: Apertura)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match71′ opening goal, Cancún (1-0)
During the match72′ Cancún go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match77′ sending-off, Alebrijes de Oaxaca (A. Arellano)
During the match81′ last goal, Cancún

What it changes

In this league, “Cancún or draw” goes from 80.5% to 81% success rate, over 42 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera A: Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes