Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Monarcas

2–0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–0

Leones Negros UDG

What Janus-12 said

76%

Monarcas or draw

80% success over 41 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 2 bookmakers

Bet offered: Monarcas or draw

1xBet
Betsson

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 19/09, 04:09.

Sealed on 20/09, 02:00announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Primera A: Apertura

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Leones Negros UDG	11	7	2	2	+11	23
2	Monarcas	11	7	1	3	+9	22
3	CA La Paz	11	6	2	3	+11	20
4	Venados FC	11	6	1	4	+5	19
5	Piratas	11	5	3	3	+6	18
6	Mineros de Zacatecas	11	5	2	4	+4	17
7	Cancún	11	5	2	4	+4	17
8	Durango	11	5	2	4	0	17
9	Correcaminos Uat	11	4	4	3	+1	16
10	Tapatío	10	4	2	4	+2	14
11	Dorados	11	3	4	4	0	13
12	Tlaxcala	11	3	3	5	-4	12
13	CDS Tampico Madero	11	3	2	6	-7	11
14	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	11	3	1	7	-14	10
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	11	1	5	5	-7	8
16	Tepatitlán	10	2	0	8	-21	6

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Monarcas or draw76%held
- Monarcas took the lead in the 23rd minute and never let it go.
- Monarcas took control early: opening goal in the 23rd minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMonarcas 2nd, Leones Negros UDG 1st (Primera A: Apertura)

During the match

During the match23′ opening goal, Monarcas (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match59′ Monarcas go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match89′ sending-off, Leones Negros UDG (O. Gonzalez)

What it changes

In this league, “Monarcas or draw” goes from 80.5% to 81% success rate, over 42 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Monarcas on the left, Leones Negros UDG on the right.

First half

23'Goal · R. del Campo (assist : M. Dominguez)
40'Yellow card · D. Aguilar
Yellow card · U. Torres41'
44'Yellow card · R. del Campo
Yellow card · J. Aguayo45+2'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

59'Goal · D. Zamora (assist : D. Aguilar)
65'Substitution · R. del Campo ⇄ A. Flores
65'Substitution · D. Aguilar ⇄ A. Andrade
Substitution · O. Gil ⇄ J. Perez65'
Substitution · J. Brigido ⇄ J. Cazares65'
70'Substitution · M. Dominguez ⇄ J. Martinez
70'Substitution · M. Rodriguez ⇄ E. Castellanos
73'Yellow card · M. Nambo
Substitution · A. De Jesus Bravo Santiago ⇄ M. Valenzuela76'
Substitution · L. Razo ⇄ K. Loera76'
Yellow card · M. Valenzuela79'
81'Substitution · M. Nambo ⇄ J. Van Rankin
83'Yellow card · J. Martinez
Yellow card88'
Red card · O. Gonzalez89'
Substitution · S. A. Hernandez ⇄ U. Meza90+1'

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Monarcas or draw76%held
- Monarcas took the lead in the 23rd minute and never let it go.
- Monarcas took control early: opening goal in the 23rd minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMonarcas 2nd, Leones Negros UDG 1st (Primera A: Apertura)

During the match

During the match23′ opening goal, Monarcas (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match59′ Monarcas go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match89′ sending-off, Leones Negros UDG (O. Gonzalez)

What it changes

In this league, “Monarcas or draw” goes from 80.5% to 81% success rate, over 42 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera A: Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes