Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico

full time

Monday, 21 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Monday 21 September at 00:00. Originally planned for Sunday 20 September at 00:00.

Change noted on 11/09.

Tapatío

4–0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 3–0

Tlaxcala

What Janus-12 said

77%

Tapatío or draw

82% success over 44 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Tapatío or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 21/09, 00:00announced on 06/09/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Primera A: Apertura

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Leones Negros UDG	11	7	2	2	+11	23
2	Monarcas	11	7	1	3	+9	22
3	CA La Paz	11	6	2	3	+11	20
4	Venados FC	11	6	1	4	+5	19
5	Piratas	11	5	3	3	+6	18
6	Mineros de Zacatecas	11	5	2	4	+4	17
7	Cancún	11	5	2	4	+4	17
8	Durango	11	5	2	4	0	17
9	Correcaminos Uat	11	4	4	3	+1	16
10	Tapatío	10	4	2	4	+2	14
11	Dorados	11	3	4	4	0	13
12	Tlaxcala	11	3	3	5	-4	12
13	CDS Tampico Madero	11	3	2	6	-7	11
14	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	11	3	1	7	-14	10
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	11	1	5	5	-7	8
16	Tepatitlán	10	2	0	8	-21	6

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Tapatío or draw77%held
- Tapatío took the lead in the 13th minute and never let it go.
- Tapatío took control early: opening goal in the 13th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableTapatío 10th, Tlaxcala 12th (Primera A: Apertura)

During the match

During the match13′ opening goal, Tapatío (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match54′ Tapatío go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match87′ sending-off, Tlaxcala (F. Plascencia)

What it changes

In this league, “Tapatío or draw” goes from 81.8% to 82.2% success rate, over 45 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,964 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Tapatío on the left, Tlaxcala on the right.

First half

7'Yellow card · G. Garcia
13'Goal · G. Garcia (assist : J. Uribe)
30'Yellow card · C. Soldati

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

46'Substitution · G. Garcia ⇄ D. Villaseca
Missed penalty · D. Alvarez (assist : D. Alvarez)52'
54'Goal · V. Moragrega (assist : D. Villaseca)
Substitution · E. Hernandez ⇄ R. E. Camacho Lastra59'
Substitution · D. Alvarez ⇄ Christian59'
60'Goal · V. Moragrega (assist : J. Uribe)
61'Goal · J. Hernandez (assist : S. Zamora)
Substitution · J. Zamudio ⇄ F. Plascencia67'
Substitution · E. Santos ⇄ C. Gonzalez67'
67'Substitution · V. Moragrega ⇄ D. Latorre
68'Substitution · C. Soldati ⇄ S. Esparza
77'Substitution · J. Uribe ⇄ R. Nuno
77'Substitution · J. Hernandez ⇄ M. Cendejas
Substitution · I. Govea ⇄ A. Sanchez84'
Red card · F. Plascencia87'
90'Yellow card · S. Esparza

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Tapatío or draw77%held
- Tapatío took the lead in the 13th minute and never let it go.
- Tapatío took control early: opening goal in the 13th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableTapatío 10th, Tlaxcala 12th (Primera A: Apertura)

During the match

During the match13′ opening goal, Tapatío (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match54′ Tapatío go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match87′ sending-off, Tlaxcala (F. Plascencia)

What it changes

In this league, “Tapatío or draw” goes from 81.8% to 82.2% success rate, over 45 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,964 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera A: Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes