Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico

full time

Sunday, 6 September 2026

Monarcas

4-1full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 2–1

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

What Janus-12 said

81%

Monarcas or draw

83% success over 23 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Monarcas or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 06/09, 06:33.

Sealed on 06/09, 02:00announced on 23/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

43% success over 23 matches in this league
57%✓

Primera A: Apertura

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Leones Negros UDG	11	7	2	2	+11	23
2	Monarcas	11	7	1	3	+9	22
3	CA La Paz	11	6	2	3	+11	20
4	Venados FC	11	6	1	4	+5	19
5	Piratas	11	5	3	3	+6	18
6	Mineros de Zacatecas	11	5	2	4	+4	17
7	Cancún	11	5	2	4	+4	17
8	Durango	11	5	2	4	0	17
9	Correcaminos Uat	11	4	4	3	+1	16
10	Tapatío	10	4	2	4	+2	14
11	Dorados	11	3	4	4	0	13
12	Tlaxcala	11	3	3	5	-4	12
13	CDS Tampico Madero	11	3	2	6	-7	11
14	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	11	3	1	7	-14	10
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	11	1	5	5	-7	8
16	Tepatitlán	10	2	0	8	-21	6

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Monarcas or draw81%held
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca played 24 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 66th minute.
- Monarcas took the lead in the 22nd minute and never let it go.
Monarcas to win57%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMonarcas 2nd, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 14th (Primera A: Apertura)

During the match

During the match22′ opening goal, Monarcas (1-0)
During the match27′ Monarcas go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match66′ sending-off, Alebrijes de Oaxaca (A. Justo)
During the match78′ last goal, Monarcas

What it changes

In this league, “Monarcas or draw” goes from 82.6% to 83.3% success rate, over 24 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,299 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Monarcas on the left, Alebrijes de Oaxaca on the right.

First half

22'Goal · R. del Campo (assist : M. Nambo)
27'Goal · M. Rodriguez (assist : R. del Campo)
Substitution · K. Alvarez ⇄ D. Martinez32'

Half-time2 - 0

Second half

Substitution · B. Fadika ⇄ A. Tecpanecatl46'
Substitution · Andrey Marcos ⇄ I. Barreda46'
Substitution · A. Arellano ⇄ J. Bustos46'
Penalty goal · J. Bustos51'
57'Goal · M. Rodriguez (assist : M. Dominguez)
Yellow card · A. Justo60'
65'Substitution · M. Nambo ⇄ V. Lopez
Yellow card · A. Justo66'
Red card · A. Justo66'
78'Substitution · M. Rodriguez ⇄ P. Romero
78'Substitution · M. Dominguez ⇄ J. Martinez
78'Substitution · R. del Campo ⇄ A. Flores
Substitution · T. Jaimes Rodriguez ⇄ M. Carreon78'
78'Goal · A. Flores (assist : D. Aguilar)
87'Substitution · J. Martinez ⇄ A. Andrade

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Monarcas or draw81%held
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca played 24 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 66th minute.
- Monarcas took the lead in the 22nd minute and never let it go.
Monarcas to win57%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMonarcas 2nd, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 14th (Primera A: Apertura)

During the match

During the match22′ opening goal, Monarcas (1-0)
During the match27′ Monarcas go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match66′ sending-off, Alebrijes de Oaxaca (A. Justo)
During the match78′ last goal, Monarcas

What it changes

In this league, “Monarcas or draw” goes from 82.6% to 83.3% success rate, over 24 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,299 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera A: Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes