Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Durango

1-1full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 1–0

Tlaxcala

What Janus-12 said

74%

Durango or draw

81% success over 21 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Durango or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 05/09, 02:00announced on 22/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Primera A: Apertura

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Leones Negros UDG	11	7	2	2	+11	23
2	Monarcas	11	7	1	3	+9	22
3	CA La Paz	11	6	2	3	+11	20
4	Venados FC	11	6	1	4	+5	19
5	Piratas	11	5	3	3	+6	18
6	Mineros de Zacatecas	11	5	2	4	+4	17
7	Cancún	11	5	2	4	+4	17
8	Durango	11	5	2	4	0	17
9	Correcaminos Uat	11	4	4	3	+1	16
10	Tapatío	10	4	2	4	+2	14
11	Dorados	11	3	4	4	0	13
12	Tlaxcala	11	3	3	5	-4	12
13	CDS Tampico Madero	11	3	2	6	-7	11
14	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	11	3	1	7	-14	10
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	11	1	5	5	-7	8
16	Tepatitlán	10	2	0	8	-21	6

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Durango or draw74%held
- Tlaxcala played 17 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 73rd minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDurango 8th, Tlaxcala 12th (Primera A: Apertura)

During the match

During the match8′ opening goal, Tlaxcala (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match73′ sending-off, Tlaxcala (C. Gonzalez)
During the match90′ equaliser, Durango (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Durango or draw” goes from 81% to 81.8% success rate, over 22 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,869 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Durango on the left, Tlaxcala on the right.

First half

Penalty goal · E. Hernandez8'
Yellow card · B. Flores28'
45'Yellow card · S. Flores
Yellow card · C. Gonzalez45+3'

Half-time0 - 1

Second half

46'Substitution · D. Oteo ⇄ L. Lorona
46'Substitution · A. Ontiveros ⇄ C. Vega Hernandez
Yellow card · I. Govea50'
52'Yellow card · C. Vega Hernandez
Substitution · E. Hernandez ⇄ D. Alvarez55'
Substitution · R. E. Camacho Lastra ⇄ Christian56'
63'Yellow card · H. Real
67'Substitution · L. Morales ⇄ J. Angulo
Substitution · B. Flores ⇄ E. Santos69'
Substitution · F. Figueroa ⇄ M. Ramirez69'
Yellow card · C. Gonzalez73'
Red card · C. Gonzalez73'
75'Substitution · J. Torres ⇄ C. Siqueiros
79'Substitution · R. Dominguez ⇄ B. Munoz
Substitution · E. Robles ⇄ A. Iniestra80'
90+2'Yellow card · J. Munoz
90+5'Goal · E. Cantu
90+9'Yellow card · L. Lorona

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Durango or draw74%held
- Tlaxcala played 17 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 73rd minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDurango 8th, Tlaxcala 12th (Primera A: Apertura)

During the match

During the match8′ opening goal, Tlaxcala (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match73′ sending-off, Tlaxcala (C. Gonzalez)
During the match90′ equaliser, Durango (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Durango or draw” goes from 81% to 81.8% success rate, over 22 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,869 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera A: Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes