Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico

full time

Friday, 28 August 2026

Cancún

1-2full timeHT 0–2 · 2H 1–0

CA La Paz

What Janus-12 said

77%

Cancún or draw

83% success over 12 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 23 %

A prediction at 77 % fails 23 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Cancún or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 27/08, 16:01.

Sealed on 28/08, 02:00announced on 15/08/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

42% success over 12 matches in this league
50%✗

Primera A: Apertura

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Leones Negros UDG	11	7	2	2	+11	23
2	Monarcas	11	7	1	3	+9	22
3	CA La Paz	11	6	2	3	+11	20
4	Venados FC	11	6	1	4	+5	19
5	Piratas	11	5	3	3	+6	18
6	Mineros de Zacatecas	11	5	2	4	+4	17
7	Cancún	11	5	2	4	+4	17
8	Durango	11	5	2	4	0	17
9	Correcaminos Uat	11	4	4	3	+1	16
10	Tapatío	10	4	2	4	+2	14
11	Dorados	11	3	4	4	0	13
12	Tlaxcala	11	3	3	5	-4	12
13	CDS Tampico Madero	11	3	2	6	-7	11
14	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	11	3	1	7	-14	10
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	11	1	5	5	-7	8
16	Tepatitlán	10	2	0	8	-21	6

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Cancún or draw77%lost
- Cancún chased the score almost all match: CA La Paz scored as early as the 13th minute.
Cancún to win50%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCancún 7th, CA La Paz 3rd (Primera A: Apertura)

During the match

During the match13′ opening goal, CA La Paz (0-1)
During the match16′ CA La Paz go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match37′ sending-off, CA La Paz (H. Torres)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2
During the match77′ last goal, Cancún

What it changes

In this league, “Cancún or draw” goes from 83.3% to 76.9% success rate, over 13 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,161 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Cancún on the left, CA La Paz on the right.

First half

Goal · U. Jaimes (assist : O. Millan)13'
Goal · U. Jaimes (assist : F. Illescas)16'
Yellow card · U. Jaimes21'
22'Yellow card · D. Guillen
Yellow card · M. Barragan31'
Yellow card · F. Illescas32'
36'Yellow card · F. Melendre
Red card · H. Torres37'
Substitution · A. Robles ⇄ Y. Del Aguila42'
43'Yellow card · U. Echevarria

Half-time0 - 2

Second half

46'Substitution · D. Lomeli ⇄ T. Gigena
46'Substitution · A. Chavez ⇄ A. Arredondo
60'Substitution · P. Uscanga ⇄ L. Lopez
60'Substitution · F. Melendre ⇄ G. Preciado
61'Substitution · B. El-mesmari ⇄ A. Alvarez
Substitution · U. Jaimes ⇄ S. Vazquez61'
Substitution · O. Millan ⇄ L. Chiu61'
Substitution · J. Alonzo ⇄ D. Hernandez69'
Substitution · M. Barragan ⇄ J. Ferrer69'
Yellow card · Y. Del Aguila70'
77'Goal · J. Rodriguez (assist : K. Campos)
Yellow card · D. Hernandez90+10'

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Cancún or draw77%lost
- Cancún chased the score almost all match: CA La Paz scored as early as the 13th minute.
Cancún to win50%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCancún 7th, CA La Paz 3rd (Primera A: Apertura)

During the match

During the match13′ opening goal, CA La Paz (0-1)
During the match16′ CA La Paz go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match37′ sending-off, CA La Paz (H. Torres)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2
During the match77′ last goal, Cancún

What it changes

In this league, “Cancún or draw” goes from 83.3% to 76.9% success rate, over 13 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,161 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera A: Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes