Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico

full time

Friday, 28 August 2026

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

1-1full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 1–1

Tapatío

What Janus-12 said

71%

Alebrijes de Oaxaca or Tapatío

83% success over 12 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 29 %

A prediction at 71 % fails 29 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Alebrijes de Oaxaca or Tapatío

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 27/08, 16:01.

Sealed on 28/08, 02:00announced on 15/08/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Primera A: Apertura

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Leones Negros UDG	11	7	2	2	+11	23
2	Monarcas	11	7	1	3	+9	22
3	CA La Paz	11	6	2	3	+11	20
4	Venados FC	11	6	1	4	+5	19
5	Piratas	11	5	3	3	+6	18
6	Mineros de Zacatecas	11	5	2	4	+4	17
7	Cancún	11	5	2	4	+4	17
8	Durango	11	5	2	4	0	17
9	Correcaminos Uat	11	4	4	3	+1	16
10	Tapatío	10	4	2	4	+2	14
11	Dorados	11	3	4	4	0	13
12	Tlaxcala	11	3	3	5	-4	12
13	CDS Tampico Madero	11	3	2	6	-7	11
14	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	11	3	1	7	-14	10
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	11	1	5	5	-7	8
16	Tepatitlán	10	2	0	8	-21	6

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca or Tapatío71%lost
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAlebrijes de Oaxaca 14th, Tapatío 10th (Primera A: Apertura)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match56′ opening goal, Alebrijes de Oaxaca (1-0)
During the match86′ equaliser, Tapatío (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Alebrijes de Oaxaca or Tapatío” goes from 83.3% to 76.9% success rate, over 13 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,161 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Alebrijes de Oaxaca on the left, Tapatío on the right.

First half

21'Yellow card · P. Villa
Yellow card · M. Cendejas27'
37'Yellow card · B. Fadika

Half-time0 - 0

Second half

55'Substitution · I. Barreda ⇄ D. Martinez
56'Goal · B. Fadika
Substitution · M. Cendejas ⇄ S. Zamora62'
Substitution · L. Ledesma ⇄ D. Villaseca62'
Substitution · C. Medina ⇄ L. Calderon62'
63'Missed penalty · D. Martinez (assist : D. Martinez)
Substitution · J. Uribe ⇄ R. Nuno77'
78'Substitution · A. Arellano ⇄ E. Sanchez
78'Substitution · Andrey Marcos ⇄ W. Torres
79'Yellow card · W. Torres
Goal · G. Garcia (assist : C. Soldati)86'
Yellow card · C. Soldati87'
Substitution · S. Esparza ⇄ C. Hernandez89'
90+3'Substitution · T. Jaimes Rodriguez ⇄ A. Hernandez
90+3'Substitution · L. Jeffus ⇄ O. Ballesteros
Yellow card · L. Jimenez90+5'

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca or Tapatío71%lost
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAlebrijes de Oaxaca 14th, Tapatío 10th (Primera A: Apertura)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match56′ opening goal, Alebrijes de Oaxaca (1-0)
During the match86′ equaliser, Tapatío (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Alebrijes de Oaxaca or Tapatío” goes from 83.3% to 76.9% success rate, over 13 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,161 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera A: Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes