Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico

full time

Saturday, 29 August 2026

Tlaxcala

3-1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 2–1

Venados FC

What Janus-12 said

71%

Tlaxcala or Venados FC

76% success over 17 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Tlaxcala or Venados FC

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 29/08, 15:43.

Sealed on 29/08, 23:00announced on 16/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Primera A: Apertura

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Leones Negros UDG	11	7	2	2	+11	23
2	Monarcas	11	7	1	3	+9	22
3	CA La Paz	11	6	2	3	+11	20
4	Venados FC	11	6	1	4	+5	19
5	Piratas	11	5	3	3	+6	18
6	Mineros de Zacatecas	11	5	2	4	+4	17
7	Cancún	11	5	2	4	+4	17
8	Durango	11	5	2	4	0	17
9	Correcaminos Uat	11	4	4	3	+1	16
10	Tapatío	10	4	2	4	+2	14
11	Dorados	11	3	4	4	0	13
12	Tlaxcala	11	3	3	5	-4	12
13	CDS Tampico Madero	11	3	2	6	-7	11
14	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	11	3	1	7	-14	10
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	11	1	5	5	-7	8
16	Tepatitlán	10	2	0	8	-21	6

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Tlaxcala or Venados FC71%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableTlaxcala 12th, Venados FC 4th (Primera A: Apertura)

During the match

During the match38′ opening goal, Tlaxcala (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match69′ Tlaxcala go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match81′ sending-off, Tlaxcala (B. Vazquez)
During the match90′ last goal, Tlaxcala
During the match90′ sending-off, Venados FC

What it changes

In this league, “Tlaxcala or Venados FC” goes from 76.5% to 77.8% success rate, over 18 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,588 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Tlaxcala on the left, Venados FC on the right.

First half

11'Yellow card · E. Garcia
Yellow card · M. Montelongo17'
17'Yellow card · B. Vazquez
Yellow card · J. Reyes25'
Yellow card · E. Torres27'
38'Goal · I. Govea

Half-time1 - 0

Second half

Substitution · E. Torres ⇄ P. Kilani46'
Substitution · M. Montelongo ⇄ M. Torres46'
59'Substitution · E. Hernandez ⇄ M. Ramirez
68'Substitution · P. Gonzalez ⇄ F. Plascencia
68'Substitution · R. E. Camacho Lastra ⇄ D. Alvarez
69'Goal · D. Alvarez
Substitution · D. Tejeda ⇄ K. Amador70'
Substitution · L. Macias ⇄ L. Arroyo70'
78'Substitution · I. Govea ⇄ E. Santos
78'Substitution · F. Figueroa ⇄ E. Robles
81'Yellow card · B. Vazquez
81'Red card · B. Vazquez
Penalty goal · S. Lora82'
Yellow card · S. Montiel83'
Substitution · Ochoa Brandon ⇄ A. Grijalva84'
Red card90'
90+1'Missed penalty · D. Alvarez (assist : D. Alvarez)
Yellow card · M. Torres90+5'
90+7'Goal · D. Alvarez (assist : E. Robles)

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Tlaxcala or Venados FC71%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableTlaxcala 12th, Venados FC 4th (Primera A: Apertura)

During the match

During the match38′ opening goal, Tlaxcala (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match69′ Tlaxcala go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match81′ sending-off, Tlaxcala (B. Vazquez)
During the match90′ last goal, Tlaxcala
During the match90′ sending-off, Venados FC

What it changes

In this league, “Tlaxcala or Venados FC” goes from 76.5% to 77.8% success rate, over 18 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,588 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera A: Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes