Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico

full time

Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Dorados

1–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–1

Cancún

What Janus-12 said

70%

Dorados or Cancún

81% success over 36 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 30 %

A prediction at 70 % fails 30 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Dorados or Cancún

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 16/09, 08:30.

Sealed on 16/09, 02:00announced on 02/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Primera A: Apertura

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Leones Negros UDG	11	7	2	2	+11	23
2	Monarcas	11	7	1	3	+9	22
3	CA La Paz	11	6	2	3	+11	20
4	Venados FC	11	6	1	4	+5	19
5	Piratas	11	5	3	3	+6	18
6	Mineros de Zacatecas	11	5	2	4	+4	17
7	Cancún	11	5	2	4	+4	17
8	Durango	11	5	2	4	0	17
9	Correcaminos Uat	11	4	4	3	+1	16
10	Tapatío	10	4	2	4	+2	14
11	Dorados	11	3	4	4	0	13
12	Tlaxcala	11	3	3	5	-4	12
13	CDS Tampico Madero	11	3	2	6	-7	11
14	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	11	3	1	7	-14	10
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	11	1	5	5	-7	8
16	Tepatitlán	10	2	0	8	-21	6

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Dorados or Cancún70%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDorados 11th, Cancún 7th (Primera A: Apertura)

During the match

During the match45′ opening goal, Dorados (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match52′ equaliser, Cancún (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Dorados or Cancún” goes from 80.6% to 78.4% success rate, over 37 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,765 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Dorados on the left, Cancún on the right.

First half

45+2'Goal · O. Coronel (assist : F. Contreras)

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

46'Substitution · J. Alvarez ⇄ A. Egana
Goal · K. Campos52'
61'Substitution · F. Contreras ⇄ D. Guajardo
61'Substitution · O. Coronel ⇄ C. Leyva
Substitution · P. Uscanga ⇄ A. Arredondo67'
74'Substitution · R. Franco ⇄ E. Gutierrez
Yellow card · A. Alvarez75'
80'Substitution · F. Pena ⇄ B. Sanchez
Substitution · K. Campos ⇄ L. Ruiz82'
Substitution · F. Melendre ⇄ C. Vela82'
Substitution · G. Preciado ⇄ R. Reyes88'
90+6'Yellow card · E. Gutierrez

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Dorados or Cancún70%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDorados 11th, Cancún 7th (Primera A: Apertura)

During the match

During the match45′ opening goal, Dorados (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match52′ equaliser, Cancún (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Dorados or Cancún” goes from 80.6% to 78.4% success rate, over 37 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,765 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera A: Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes