Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Feminine Division 1 · France

full time

Saturday, 3 October 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Saturday 3 October at 17:30. Originally planned for Saturday 3 October at 16:00.

Change noted on 14/09.

Strasbourg W

3–3full timeHT 1–2 · 2H 2–1

Marseille W

What Janus-12 said

73%

Strasbourg W or Marseille W

78% success over 18 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 27 %

A prediction at 73 % fails 27 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Strasbourg W or Marseille W

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 03/10, 15:40.

Sealed on 03/10, 17:30announced on 20/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

71% success over 14 matches in this league
72%✓

Feminine Division 1 Women

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Lyon W	4	4	0	0	+24	12
2	Paris Saint Germain W	4	4	0	0	+7	12
3	Paris FC W	4	3	0	1	+1	9
4	Marseille W	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Le Havre W	4	2	0	2	-5	6
6	Montpellier W	4	1	2	1	+3	5
7	Strasbourg W	4	1	1	2	-3	4
8	FC Fleury 91 W	4	1	1	2	-6	4
9	Saint-Malo W	4	1	0	3	-4	3
10	Nantes W	4	0	2	2	-3	2
11	Lens W	4	0	1	3	-6	1
12	Toulouse W	4	0	1	3	-10	1

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Strasbourg W or Marseille W73%lost
Draw or Marseille W ahead at half-time72%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 26′ Strasbourg W, 29′ Marseille W, 30′ Marseille W.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableStrasbourg W 7th, Marseille W 4th (Feminine Division 1 Women)

During the match

During the match26′ opening goal, Strasbourg W (1-0)
During the match29′ equaliser, Marseille W (1-1)
During the match30′ turnaround, Marseille W go ahead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match66′ turnaround, Marseille W go ahead (1-3)
During the match90′ Strasbourg W come back from 2 goals down (3-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Strasbourg W or Marseille W” goes from 77.8% to 73.7% success rate, over 19 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Strasbourg W on the left, Marseille W on the right.

First half

26'Goal · Ana-Maria Crnogorcevic (assist : Kristin Kogel)
Goal · Habibou Ouédraogo (assist : Bea)29'
Goal · Mathilde Bourdieu30'

Half-time1 – 2

Second half

Substitution · Mathilde Bourdieu ⇄ Jenny Perret64'
Substitution · Alexis Missimo ⇄ Maelle Garbino64'
65'Substitution · Marion Haelewyn ⇄ Viktoria Pinther
65'Substitution · Natalia Wrobel ⇄ Grace Kazadi
Goal · Habibou Ouédraogo (assist : Louise Fleury)66'
71'VAR: Penalty confirmed · Emmi Siren
73'Penalty goal · Kristin Kogel
74'Substitution · Ana-Maria Crnogorcevic ⇄ Amber Barrett
Yellow card · Claire Marie Annie Lavogez76'
82'Substitution · Léa Declercq ⇄ Megane Hoeltzel
Substitution · Nelly Rodrigues ⇄ Julie Thibaud87'
Substitution · Louise Fleury ⇄ Amandine Beche87'
90'Yellow card · Vincent Nogueira
90+2'Goal · Kristin Kogel (assist : Emmi Siren)

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Strasbourg W or Marseille W73%lost
Draw or Marseille W ahead at half-time72%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 26′ Strasbourg W, 29′ Marseille W, 30′ Marseille W.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableStrasbourg W 7th, Marseille W 4th (Feminine Division 1 Women)

During the match

During the match26′ opening goal, Strasbourg W (1-0)
During the match29′ equaliser, Marseille W (1-1)
During the match30′ turnaround, Marseille W go ahead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match66′ turnaround, Marseille W go ahead (1-3)
During the match90′ Strasbourg W come back from 2 goals down (3-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Strasbourg W or Marseille W” goes from 77.8% to 73.7% success rate, over 19 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Feminine Division 1 Women

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes