Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Segunda Liga · Portugal

full time

Sunday, 13 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Sunday 13 September at 15:30. Originally planned for Sunday 13 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 11/09.

Amarante

2–2full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–2

União de Leiria

What Janus-12 said

71%

Amarante or União de Leiria

74% success over 39 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 29 %

A prediction at 71 % fails 29 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Amarante or União de Leiria

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 13/09, 15:25.

Sealed on 13/09, 15:30announced on 30/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Division2

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Lusitânia Lourosa	6	5	1	0	+7	16
2	Penafiel	6	4	1	1	+8	13
3	Sporting CP B	6	4	0	2	+2	12
4	Farense	6	3	2	1	+6	11
5	Vizela	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Benfica B	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	União de Leiria	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	Leixoes	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Academica	6	3	0	3	-2	9
10	Tondela	6	3	0	3	+1	9
11	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	-2	7
12	AVS	6	1	3	2	0	6
13	Felgueiras 1932	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Torreense	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Amarante	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Chaves	6	1	1	4	-8	4
17	FC Porto B	6	1	1	4	-9	4
18	Feirense	6	0	1	5	-7	1

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Amarante or União de Leiria71%lost
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 41st minute, on the Amarante side.
- The two teams managed only 11 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAmarante 15th, União de Leiria 7th (Division2)

During the match

During the match41′ sending-off, Amarante (feliciano mendes)
During the match45′ opening goal, Amarante (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match51′ equaliser, União de Leiria (1-1)
During the match80′ turnaround, União de Leiria go ahead (1-2)
During the match82′ equaliser, Amarante (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Amarante or União de Leiria” goes from 74.4% to 72.5% success rate, over 40 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Amarante on the left, União de Leiria on the right.

First half

Substitution · Albert Lottin ⇄ Tharlley Oliveira Da Silva4'
23'Yellow card · Ian Custódio dos Anjos
41'Red card · feliciano mendes
45+1'Goal · ruben ramos

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Substitution · José Nabil Ondo Onva Adjugu ⇄ Damien Loppy46'
Substitution · Tharlley Oliveira Da Silva ⇄ Diogo Martins46'
46'Substitution · Ian Custódio dos Anjos ⇄ Ricardo joao
Goal · Juan Muñoz51'
62'Substitution · melvin costa ⇄ Arome Emmanuel Idache
62'Substitution · Simão Silva ⇄ Fernando de Lacerda Gomes
Substitution · jaiminho ⇄ Jair silva da goncalves69'
Substitution · Pablo Fernandez ⇄ Samuel Ntanda-Lukisa75'
Goal · Jair silva da goncalves80'
82'Goal · Goncalo cunha
90'Substitution · Luís Machado ⇄ Rodrigo Beirão
90+5'Substitution · Abdoul zangre ⇄ Rodrigo Barata Gorgueira Alves Guedes
90+6'Yellow card · Rodrigo Barata Gorgueira Alves Guedes

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Amarante or União de Leiria71%lost
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 41st minute, on the Amarante side.
- The two teams managed only 11 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAmarante 15th, União de Leiria 7th (Division2)

During the match

During the match41′ sending-off, Amarante (feliciano mendes)
During the match45′ opening goal, Amarante (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match51′ equaliser, União de Leiria (1-1)
During the match80′ turnaround, União de Leiria go ahead (1-2)
During the match82′ equaliser, Amarante (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Amarante or União de Leiria” goes from 74.4% to 72.5% success rate, over 40 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Division2

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes