Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Segunda Liga · Portugal

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Match brought forward

Brought forward to Saturday 5 September at 11:00. Originally planned for Sunday 6 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Tondela

3-0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 2–0

FC Porto B

What Janus-12 said

74%

Tondela or draw

69% success over 26 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Tondela or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/09, 04:06.

Sealed on 05/09, 11:00announced on 23/08/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Division2

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Lusitânia Lourosa	6	5	1	0	+7	16
2	Penafiel	6	4	1	1	+8	13
3	Sporting CP B	6	4	0	2	+2	12
4	Farense	6	3	2	1	+6	11
5	Vizela	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Benfica B	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	União de Leiria	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	Leixoes	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Academica	6	3	0	3	-2	9
10	Tondela	6	3	0	3	+1	9
11	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	-2	7
12	AVS	6	1	3	2	0	6
13	Felgueiras 1932	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Torreense	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Amarante	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Chaves	6	1	1	4	-8	4
17	FC Porto B	6	1	1	4	-9	4
18	Feirense	6	0	1	5	-7	1

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Tondela or draw74%held
- Tondela took the lead in the 29th minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 8 shots on target for Tondela against 1.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableTondela 10th, FC Porto B 17th (Division2)

During the match

During the match29′ opening goal, Tondela (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match47′ Tondela go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match87′ last goal, Tondela

What it changes

In this league, “Tondela or draw” goes from 69.2% to 70.4% success rate, over 27 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Tondela on the left, FC Porto B on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Bernardo Lima14'
29'Goal · Arjen Van Der Heide (assist : Hugo Félix)
Yellow card · Tiago Gonçalves da Silva35'
40'Yellow card · Arjen Van Der Heide
42'Yellow card · Gaston Novero
43'Yellow card · Hélder Tavares
Yellow card · Duarte Cunha44'

Half-time1 - 0

Second half

Substitution · Trofim Melnichenko ⇄ Eduardo Ferreira46'
Substitution · Duarte Cunha ⇄ Cardoso varela46'
47'Goal · Antonio Tomane
Yellow card · Mateus Mide49'
Substitution · Bernardo Lima ⇄ Joao·Teixeira58'
Substitution · Tiago Gonçalves da Silva ⇄ Eirik Granaas58'
61'Substitution · Clebson Cicero ⇄ Tiago Dias
61'Substitution · Arjen Van Der Heide ⇄ sarara mateus
Substitution · Yoan Pereira ⇄ Martim cunha67'
72'Substitution · Hugo Félix ⇄ Xabier Huarte Armendáriz
75'Substitution · Gaston Novero ⇄ Joao Marcos Lima Candido
75'Substitution · Antonio Tomane ⇄ Richarllyson
87'Goal · Joao Marcos Lima Candido

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Tondela or draw74%held
- Tondela took the lead in the 29th minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 8 shots on target for Tondela against 1.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableTondela 10th, FC Porto B 17th (Division2)

During the match

During the match29′ opening goal, Tondela (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match47′ Tondela go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match87′ last goal, Tondela

What it changes

In this league, “Tondela or draw” goes from 69.2% to 70.4% success rate, over 27 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Division2

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes