Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Segunda Liga · Portugal

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 5 September at 14:00. Originally planned for Sunday 6 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Penafiel

4–1full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 2–1

Academica

What Janus-12 said

74%

Penafiel or Academica

70% success over 27 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Penafiel or Academica

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/09, 04:53.

Sealed on 05/09, 14:01announced on 23/08/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Division2

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Lusitânia Lourosa	6	5	1	0	+7	16
2	Penafiel	6	4	1	1	+8	13
3	Sporting CP B	6	4	0	2	+2	12
4	Farense	6	3	2	1	+6	11
5	Vizela	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Benfica B	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	União de Leiria	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	Leixoes	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Academica	6	3	0	3	-2	9
10	Tondela	6	3	0	3	+1	9
11	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	-2	7
12	AVS	6	1	3	2	0	6
13	Felgueiras 1932	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Torreense	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Amarante	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Chaves	6	1	1	4	-8	4
17	FC Porto B	6	1	1	4	-9	4
18	Feirense	6	0	1	5	-7	1

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Penafiel or Academica74%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePenafiel 2nd, Academica 9th (Division2)

During the match

During the match36′ opening goal, Penafiel (1-0)
During the match42′ Penafiel go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match45′ sending-off, Penafiel (Pedro Sá)
During the match90′ last goal, Academica

What it changes

In this league, “Penafiel or Academica” goes from 70.4% to 71.4% success rate, over 28 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Penafiel on the left, Academica on the right.

First half

25'Substitution · Claudio Silva ⇄ Iano Simão
36'Goal · Pedro Sá (assist : Max Svensson)
Yellow card · Hélder Lopes40'
42'Goal · Antonio David Álvarez Rey (assist : Alejandro Carbonell)
45+5'Red card · Pedro Sá

Half-time2 – 0

Second half

46'Substitution · Antonio David Álvarez Rey ⇄ francisco varela
Substitution · Jean Sinisterra ⇄ Martim Tavares46'
53'Yellow card · Alejandro Carbonell
57'Goal · João Pinto
Substitution · Ilies Faure ⇄ Amadou Coundoul61'
Substitution · Kaka ⇄ Rui Gomes61'
62'Yellow card · Max Svensson
71'Goal · Max Svensson
Substitution · Marcos Paulo ⇄ Joao Oliveira79'
Substitution · Ricardo Teixeira ⇄ Hugo Nunes79'
79'Substitution · Max Svensson ⇄ Ricardo Schutte
80'Yellow card · Ricardo Schutte
83'Substitution · Jaime Sánchez ⇄ Douglas Borel
83'Substitution · João Pinto ⇄ Mairlon Ramon
Yellow card · Afonso Rodrigues86'
88'Yellow card · Gonçalo Negrão
Goal · Leandro Silva90+2'
90+4'Yellow card · Miguel Oliveira

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Penafiel or Academica74%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePenafiel 2nd, Academica 9th (Division2)

During the match

During the match36′ opening goal, Penafiel (1-0)
During the match42′ Penafiel go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match45′ sending-off, Penafiel (Pedro Sá)
During the match90′ last goal, Academica

What it changes

In this league, “Penafiel or Academica” goes from 70.4% to 71.4% success rate, over 28 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Division2

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes