Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Segunda Liga · Portugal

full time

Sunday, 6 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Sunday 6 September at 15:30. Originally planned for Sunday 6 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Leixoes

3–1full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 1–1

Amarante

What Janus-12 said

76%

Leixoes or draw

71% success over 31 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Leixoes or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 06/09, 15:25.

Sealed on 06/09, 15:30announced on 23/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Division2

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Lusitânia Lourosa	6	5	1	0	+7	16
2	Penafiel	6	4	1	1	+8	13
3	Sporting CP B	6	4	0	2	+2	12
4	Farense	6	3	2	1	+6	11
5	Vizela	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Benfica B	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	União de Leiria	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	Leixoes	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Academica	6	3	0	3	-2	9
10	Tondela	6	3	0	3	+1	9
11	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	-2	7
12	AVS	6	1	3	2	0	6
13	Felgueiras 1932	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Torreense	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Amarante	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Chaves	6	1	1	4	-8	4
17	FC Porto B	6	1	1	4	-9	4
18	Feirense	6	0	1	5	-7	1

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Leixoes or draw76%held
- Leixoes took the lead in the 8th minute and never let it go.
- Leixoes took control early: opening goal in the 8th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLeixoes 8th, Amarante 15th (Division2)

During the match

During the match8′ opening goal, Leixoes (1-0)
During the match45′ Leixoes go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
Line-up64′ the goal came off the bench: Simão Silva (Amarante)

What it changes

In this league, “Leixoes or draw” goes from 71% to 71.9% success rate, over 32 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,465 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Leixoes on the left, Amarante on the right.

First half

6'Yellow card · Lourenço Figueiredo Henriques
8'Goal · Claudio Vtor Rodrigues Araujo
VAR · feliciano mendes19'
41'Yellow card · Luccas Paraizo
45+2'Yellow card · Salvador Agra
45+6'Goal · Luccas Paraizo (assist : Rafael Barbosa)

Half-time2 – 0

Second half

Substitution · Ricardo joao ⇄ Ian Custódio dos Anjos46'
Substitution · costa diogo ⇄ Simão Silva46'
46'Substitution · Simao Bertelli ⇄ Igor Stefanovic
52'Goal · Bryan Rochez (assist : Claudio Vtor Rodrigues Araujo)
Substitution · Ruben Alves ⇄ Rudi Almeida59'
Substitution · melvin costa ⇄ Arome Emmanuel Idache59'
Yellow card · Rudi Almeida60'
Goal · Simão Silva64'
Missed penalty · Goncalo cunha73'
74'Substitution · Lourenço Figueiredo Henriques ⇄ Semeu Commey
Yellow card · feliciano mendes78'
79'Substitution · Luccas Paraizo ⇄ Ruben Pina
79'Substitution · Salvador Agra ⇄ Kaique Rodrigues Barbosa Santos
Substitution · Joao filipe ⇄ José António Dória Santos Campelo79'
90+1'Yellow card · Serif Nhaga
90+2'Substitution · Rafael Barbosa ⇄ Hugo Faria

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Leixoes or draw76%held
- Leixoes took the lead in the 8th minute and never let it go.
- Leixoes took control early: opening goal in the 8th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLeixoes 8th, Amarante 15th (Division2)

During the match

During the match8′ opening goal, Leixoes (1-0)
During the match45′ Leixoes go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
Line-up64′ the goal came off the bench: Simão Silva (Amarante)

What it changes

In this league, “Leixoes or draw” goes from 71% to 71.9% success rate, over 32 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,465 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Division2

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes