Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Segunda Liga · Portugal

full time

Friday, 28 August 2026

União de Leiria

2-0full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 2–0

Tondela

What Janus-12 said

70%

União de Leiria or draw

59% success over 17 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: União de Leiria or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 28/08, 15:25.

Sealed on 28/08, 18:00announced on 15/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Division2

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Lusitânia Lourosa	6	5	1	0	+7	16
2	Penafiel	6	4	1	1	+8	13
3	Sporting CP B	6	4	0	2	+2	12
4	Farense	6	3	2	1	+6	11
5	Vizela	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Benfica B	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	União de Leiria	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	Leixoes	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Academica	6	3	0	3	-2	9
10	Tondela	6	3	0	3	+1	9
11	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	-2	7
12	AVS	6	1	3	2	0	6
13	Felgueiras 1932	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Torreense	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Amarante	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Chaves	6	1	1	4	-8	4
17	FC Porto B	6	1	1	4	-9	4
18	Feirense	6	0	1	5	-7	1

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

União de Leiria or draw70%held
- União de Leiria took the lead in the 52nd minute and never let it go.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableUnião de Leiria 7th, Tondela 10th (Division2)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match52′ opening goal, União de Leiria (1-0)
During the match66′ União de Leiria go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “União de Leiria or draw” goes from 58.8% to 61.1% success rate, over 18 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,177 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

União de Leiria on the left, Tondela on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Carraca38'

Half-time0 - 0

Second half

Yellow card · Cascavel48'
Yellow card48'
52'Goal · P. Fernandez
Substitution · Y. Sithole ⇄ X. Armendariz61'
64'Substitution · Jair da Silva ⇄ Jaiminho
66'Goal · N. Ondo
Substitution · Ze Ricardo ⇄ Joao Lima71'
Substitution · H. Tavares ⇄ Bebeto71'
72'Yellow card · Guirassy
Substitution · Cascavel ⇄ A. van der Heide77'
Substitution · G. Novero ⇄ Tiago Dias77'
83'Substitution · P. Fernandez ⇄ E. Kouassi
83'Substitution · J. Munoz ⇄ S. Ntanda
83'Substitution · A. Lottin ⇄ D. Martins
90+2'Substitution · N. Ondo ⇄ Tharlley

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

União de Leiria or draw70%held
- União de Leiria took the lead in the 52nd minute and never let it go.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableUnião de Leiria 7th, Tondela 10th (Division2)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match52′ opening goal, União de Leiria (1-0)
During the match66′ União de Leiria go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “União de Leiria or draw” goes from 58.8% to 61.1% success rate, over 18 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,177 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Division2

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes