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Janus-12

2. Bundesliga · Germany

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Holstein Kiel

1-1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–1

Osnabruck

What Janus-12 said

72%

Holstein Kiel or draw

88% success over 33 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Holstein Kiel or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 00:35.

Sealed on 19/09, 12:00announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

50% success over 32 matches in this league
65%✓

2. Bundesliga

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	6	6	0	0	+10	18
2	Nürnberg	6	5	1	0	+10	16
3	Heidenheim	6	4	1	1	+2	13
4	VfL Wolfsburg	6	3	2	1	+7	11
5	Kaiserslautern	6	3	2	1	+2	11
6	Magdeburg	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Energie Cottbus	6	2	2	2	+1	8
8	St. Pauli	6	1	4	1	0	7
9	VfL Bochum 1848	6	2	1	3	-1	7
10	Hannover 96	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	Osnabruck	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	6	1	3	2	-2	6
13	DSC Arminia Bielefeld	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Karlsruhe	6	1	2	3	-6	5
15	Braunschweig	6	1	1	4	-1	4
16	Holstein Kiel	6	0	4	2	-3	4
17	Dresden	6	1	1	4	-6	4
18	Darmstadt 98	6	1	1	4	-8	4

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Holstein Kiel or draw72%held
- Holstein Kiel held on with ten men for 16 minutes (sent off in the 74th minute), and the prediction held with them.
- Holstein Kiel were never behind.
At most 1 goal before half-time65%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 45′ Holstein Kiel.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableHolstein Kiel 16th, Osnabruck 11th (2. Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match45′ opening goal, Holstein Kiel (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match72′ equaliser, Osnabruck (1-1)
During the match74′ sending-off, Holstein Kiel (David Zec)

What it changes

In this league, “Holstein Kiel or draw” goes from 87.9% to 88.2% success rate, over 34 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Holstein Kiel on the left, Osnabruck on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Robin Fabinski1'
Yellow card · Jonathan Gómez9'
10'Yellow card · David Zec
Yellow card · Fridolin Wagner19'
29'Yellow card · Hiroki Sekine
45+2'Penalty goal · Phil Harres

Half-time1 - 0

Second half

Substitution · Fridolin Wagner ⇄ Daniel-Kofi Kyereh63'
69'Substitution · Gyan de Regt ⇄ Steven Skrzybski
70'Yellow card · Noah Madsen
Own goal · Hiroki Sekine72'
Substitution · Bernd Riesselmann ⇄ Luca Raimund73'
Substitution · Patrick Kammerbauer ⇄ Konrad Faber73'
74'Red card · David Zec
Substitution · Jonathan Gómez ⇄ Joel Abu Hanna87'
Substitution · Robin Meißner ⇄ Leon Opitz87'
89'Substitution · Hiroki Sekine ⇄ Ikem Ugoh
89'Substitution · Guillermo Balzi ⇄ Giorgi Kvilitaia
Yellow card · Timo Schultz90+1'

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Holstein Kiel or draw72%held
- Holstein Kiel held on with ten men for 16 minutes (sent off in the 74th minute), and the prediction held with them.
- Holstein Kiel were never behind.
At most 1 goal before half-time65%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 45′ Holstein Kiel.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableHolstein Kiel 16th, Osnabruck 11th (2. Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match45′ opening goal, Holstein Kiel (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match72′ equaliser, Osnabruck (1-1)
During the match74′ sending-off, Holstein Kiel (David Zec)

What it changes

In this league, “Holstein Kiel or draw” goes from 87.9% to 88.2% success rate, over 34 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

2. Bundesliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes