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Janus-12

2. Bundesliga · Germany

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

VfL Wolfsburg

4–4full timeHT 3–1 · 2H 1–3

Energie Cottbus

What Janus-12 said

83%

VfL Wolfsburg or draw

79% success over 24 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: VfL Wolfsburg or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/09, 22:05.

Sealed on 05/09, 12:01announced on 22/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

50% success over 14 matches in this league
67%✗
42% success over 24 matches in this league
59%✗

2. Bundesliga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	6	6	0	0	+10	18
2	Nürnberg	6	5	1	0	+10	16
3	Heidenheim	6	4	1	1	+2	13
4	VfL Wolfsburg	6	3	2	1	+7	11
5	Kaiserslautern	6	3	2	1	+2	11
6	Magdeburg	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Energie Cottbus	6	2	2	2	+1	8
8	St. Pauli	6	1	4	1	0	7
9	VfL Bochum 1848	6	2	1	3	-1	7
10	Hannover 96	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	Osnabruck	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	6	1	3	2	-2	6
13	DSC Arminia Bielefeld	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Karlsruhe	6	1	2	3	-6	5
15	Braunschweig	6	1	1	4	-1	4
16	Holstein Kiel	6	0	4	2	-3	4
17	Dresden	6	1	1	4	-6	4
18	Darmstadt 98	6	1	1	4	-8	4

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

VfL Wolfsburg or draw83%held
- VfL Wolfsburg took control early: opening goal in the 4th minute.
- VfL Wolfsburg were never behind.
At most 1 goal before half-time67%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 3-1 at half-time, 4′ VfL Wolfsburg, 25′ VfL Wolfsburg, 34′ VfL Wolfsburg, 45′ Energie Cottbus.
VfL Wolfsburg to win59%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Energie Cottbus scored in the 90th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableVfL Wolfsburg 4th, Energie Cottbus 7th (2. Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match4′ opening goal, VfL Wolfsburg (1-0)
During the match25′ VfL Wolfsburg go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-1
During the match67′ Energie Cottbus come back from 3 goals down (3-3)
During the match79′ VfL Wolfsburg retake the lead (4-3)
During the match90′ Energie Cottbus come back from 3 goals down (4-4)

What it changes

In this league, “VfL Wolfsburg or draw” goes from 79.2% to 80% success rate, over 25 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

VfL Wolfsburg on the left, Energie Cottbus on the right.

First half

4'Penalty goal · Robert Glatzel
Yellow card · King Samuel Manu6'
25'Goal · Vinicius de Souza Costa (assist : Fabian Reese)
34'Goal · Robert Glatzel (assist : Alexander Bernhardsson)
Substitution · Justin Butler ⇄ Moritz Hannemann45'
Substitution · fousseny doumbia ⇄ Christian Kinsombi45'
Substitution · Lucas Copado ⇄ Dmytro Bogdanov45'
Goal · Luca Erlein45+4'

Half-time3 – 1

Second half

Goal · King Samuel Manu (assist : Lukas Michelbrink)49'
52'Substitution · Robert Glatzel ⇄ Kento Shiogai
53'Substitution · Maximilian Arnold ⇄ Muhammed Damar
62'Yellow card · Elvis Rexhbecaj
Penalty goal · Tolcay Cigerci67'
Substitution · Leonardo Bittencourt ⇄ Dominik Pelivan68'
70'Yellow card · Mathys Angély
78'Substitution · Vinicius de Souza Costa ⇄ Mattias Svanberg
78'Substitution · Fabian Reese ⇄ Alessio Besio
79'Goal · Mattias Svanberg (assist : Mathys Angély)
Substitution · Lukas Michelbrink ⇄ Jannis Boziaris82'
Yellow card · Tolcay Cigerci84'
86'Substitution · Elvis Rexhbecaj ⇄ Yannick Gerhardt
Goal · Dmytro Bogdanov (assist : Christian Kinsombi)90+1'
Yellow card · Dmytro Bogdanov90+2'
Yellow card · Moritz Hannemann90+4'

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

VfL Wolfsburg or draw83%held
- VfL Wolfsburg took control early: opening goal in the 4th minute.
- VfL Wolfsburg were never behind.
At most 1 goal before half-time67%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 3-1 at half-time, 4′ VfL Wolfsburg, 25′ VfL Wolfsburg, 34′ VfL Wolfsburg, 45′ Energie Cottbus.
VfL Wolfsburg to win59%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Energie Cottbus scored in the 90th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableVfL Wolfsburg 4th, Energie Cottbus 7th (2. Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match4′ opening goal, VfL Wolfsburg (1-0)
During the match25′ VfL Wolfsburg go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-1
During the match67′ Energie Cottbus come back from 3 goals down (3-3)
During the match79′ VfL Wolfsburg retake the lead (4-3)
During the match90′ Energie Cottbus come back from 3 goals down (4-4)

What it changes

In this league, “VfL Wolfsburg or draw” goes from 79.2% to 80% success rate, over 25 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

2. Bundesliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes