Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

2. Bundesliga · Germany

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Holstein Kiel

2–2full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 1–1

Nürnberg

What Janus-12 said

71%

Draw or Nürnberg

79% success over 24 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Draw or Nürnberg

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/09, 08:35.

Sealed on 05/09, 12:01announced on 22/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

50% success over 14 matches in this league
65%✗

2. Bundesliga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	6	6	0	0	+10	18
2	Nürnberg	6	5	1	0	+10	16
3	Heidenheim	6	4	1	1	+2	13
4	VfL Wolfsburg	6	3	2	1	+7	11
5	Kaiserslautern	6	3	2	1	+2	11
6	Magdeburg	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Energie Cottbus	6	2	2	2	+1	8
8	St. Pauli	6	1	4	1	0	7
9	VfL Bochum 1848	6	2	1	3	-1	7
10	Hannover 96	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	Osnabruck	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	6	1	3	2	-2	6
13	DSC Arminia Bielefeld	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Karlsruhe	6	1	2	3	-6	5
15	Braunschweig	6	1	1	4	-1	4
16	Holstein Kiel	6	0	4	2	-3	4
17	Dresden	6	1	1	4	-6	4
18	Darmstadt 98	6	1	1	4	-8	4

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Nürnberg71%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 7 shots on target for Nürnberg against 3.
At most 1 goal before half-time65%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 41′ Nürnberg, 45′ Holstein Kiel.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableHolstein Kiel 16th, Nürnberg 2nd (2. Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match41′ opening goal, Nürnberg (0-1)
During the match45′ equaliser, Holstein Kiel (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match50′ turnaround, Holstein Kiel go ahead (2-1)
During the match56′ equaliser, Nürnberg (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Nürnberg” goes from 79.2% to 80% success rate, over 25 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Holstein Kiel on the left, Nürnberg on the right.

First half

12'Yellow card · Adrian Kapralik
16'Yellow card · David Zec
Yellow card · Eric Porstner34'
36'Yellow card · Guillermo Balzi
Goal · Adam Markhiev (assist : Javier Fernández)41'
45+1'Goal · Phil Harres (assist : Adrian Kapralik)

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

50'Goal · Adrian Kapralik (assist : Jonas Meffert)
Goal · Piet Scobel (assist : Adam Markhiev)56'
Substitution · Julian Justvan ⇄ William Bøving63'
Substitution · Finn Ole Becker ⇄ Rafael Lubach63'
63'Substitution · Jonas Torrissen Therkelsen ⇄ Gyan de Regt
63'Substitution · John Tolkin ⇄ Leon Parduzi
65'Yellow card · Leon Parduzi
Substitution · Tim janisch ⇄ Giannis Masouras72'
Yellow card · Rafael Lubach77'
79'Substitution · Kasper Davidsen ⇄ Tayar Tasdelen
Yellow card · Mohamed Alì Zoma83'
Substitution · Piet Scobel ⇄ Sigurd Haugen85'
Substitution · Mohamed Alì Zoma ⇄ Rayan Ghrieb85'

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Nürnberg71%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 7 shots on target for Nürnberg against 3.
At most 1 goal before half-time65%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 41′ Nürnberg, 45′ Holstein Kiel.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableHolstein Kiel 16th, Nürnberg 2nd (2. Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match41′ opening goal, Nürnberg (0-1)
During the match45′ equaliser, Holstein Kiel (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match50′ turnaround, Holstein Kiel go ahead (2-1)
During the match56′ equaliser, Nürnberg (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Nürnberg” goes from 79.2% to 80% success rate, over 25 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

2. Bundesliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes