Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League (Wales) · Wales

full time

Saturday, 26 September 2026

Cardiff MET

2-2full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–2

Caernarfon Town

What Janus-12 said

77%

Over 1.5 goals

87% success over 55 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Over 1.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 26/09, 04:43.

Sealed on 26/09, 14:30announced on 12/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

86% success over 57 matches in this league
76%✗
69% success over 39 matches in this league
76%✗
62% success over 53 matches in this league
52%✓

Premier League

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	The New Saints	12	11	1	0	+33	34
2	GAP Connah S Quay FC	12	9	1	2	+20	28
3	Penybont	12	8	3	1	+12	27
4	Barry Town	12	8	1	3	+7	25
5	Caernarfon Town	12	7	2	3	+21	23
6	Colwyn Bay	12	7	1	4	+6	22
7	Cardiff MET	12	6	3	3	+10	21
8	Airbus UK	12	6	0	6	+4	18
9	Cambrian & Clydach	12	5	3	4	-11	18
10	Llandudno	12	5	1	6	+2	16
11	Briton Ferry	12	3	3	6	-9	12
12	Haverfordwest County AFC	12	3	1	8	-10	10
13	Flint Town United	12	2	2	8	-12	8
14	Ammanford AFC	12	1	3	8	-23	6
15	Trefelin	12	0	3	9	-25	3
16	Holywell	12	0	2	10	-25	2

What we announced

2/4

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Over 1.5 goals77%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 13th minute, 4 in total.
Cardiff MET or Caernarfon Town76%lost
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 37th minute, on the Cardiff MET side.
Draw or Caernarfon Town ahead at half-time76%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 13′ Cardiff MET.
Over 2.5 goals52%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCardiff MET 7th, Caernarfon Town 5th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match13′ opening goal, Cardiff MET (1-0)
During the match37′ sending-off, Cardiff MET (L. Mwandwe)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match64′ Cardiff MET go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ Caernarfon Town come back from 2 goals down (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Over 1.5 goals” goes from 87.3% to 87.5% success rate, over 56 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,943 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Cardiff MET on the left, Caernarfon Town on the right.

First half

13'Goal · J. Payne
Yellow card · P. Mendes14'
19'Yellow card · L. Mwandwe
Yellow card · N. Edwards27'
37'Yellow card · L. Mwandwe
37'Red card · L. Mwandwe

Half-time1 - 0

Second half

Yellow card · M. Jones51'
64'Goal · J. Veale
69'Substitution · A. Wildig ⇄ J. Edwards
Substitution · R. Sears ⇄ O. Zanzala73'
Substitution · S. Bradley ⇄ S. Nyamwanza73'
86'Substitution · C. Craven ⇄ J. Hooper
Goal · O. Evans87'
90+3'Substitution · S. Snaith ⇄ H. Matthews
Yellow card · C. Marriott90+4'
Substitution · A. Cieslewicz ⇄ P. Mooney90+5'
Goal · Z. Clarke90+8'

What we announced

2/4

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Over 1.5 goals77%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 13th minute, 4 in total.
Cardiff MET or Caernarfon Town76%lost
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 37th minute, on the Cardiff MET side.
Draw or Caernarfon Town ahead at half-time76%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 13′ Cardiff MET.
Over 2.5 goals52%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCardiff MET 7th, Caernarfon Town 5th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match13′ opening goal, Cardiff MET (1-0)
During the match37′ sending-off, Cardiff MET (L. Mwandwe)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match64′ Cardiff MET go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ Caernarfon Town come back from 2 goals down (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Over 1.5 goals” goes from 87.3% to 87.5% success rate, over 56 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,943 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes