Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League (Wales) · Wales

full time

Friday, 18 September 2026

Ammanford AFC

1–5full timeHT 0–4 · 2H 1–1

Penybont

What Janus-12 said

78%

Over 1.5 goals

89% success over 47 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Over 1.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 18/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 18/09, 19:45announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

86% success over 49 matches in this league
86%✓
73% success over 33 matches in this league
84%✓
69% success over 49 matches in this league
69%✓
62% success over 45 matches in this league
59%✓

Premier League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	The New Saints	12	11	1	0	+33	34
2	GAP Connah S Quay FC	12	9	1	2	+20	28
3	Penybont	12	8	3	1	+12	27
4	Barry Town	12	8	1	3	+7	25
5	Caernarfon Town	12	7	2	3	+21	23
6	Colwyn Bay	12	7	1	4	+6	22
7	Cardiff MET	12	6	3	3	+10	21
8	Airbus UK	12	6	0	6	+4	18
9	Cambrian & Clydach	12	5	3	4	-11	18
10	Llandudno	12	5	1	6	+2	16
11	Briton Ferry	12	3	3	6	-9	12
12	Haverfordwest County AFC	12	3	1	8	-10	10
13	Flint Town United	12	2	2	8	-12	8
14	Ammanford AFC	12	1	3	8	-23	6
15	Trefelin	12	0	3	9	-25	3
16	Holywell	12	0	2	10	-25	2

What we announced

5/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Over 1.5 goals78%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 9th minute, 6 in total.
Draw or Penybont86%held
- Penybont took the lead in the 9th minute and never let it go.
- Penybont took control early: opening goal in the 9th minute.
Draw or Penybont ahead at half-time84%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-4 at half-time, 9′ Penybont, 36′ Penybont, 41′ Penybont, 45′ Penybont.
Penybont to win69%held
Over 2.5 goals59%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAmmanford AFC 14th, Penybont 3rd (Premier League)

During the match

During the match9′ opening goal, Penybont (0-1)
During the match36′ Penybont go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-4
During the match90′ last goal, Ammanford AFC

What it changes

In this league, “Over 1.5 goals” goes from 89.4% to 89.6% success rate, over 48 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,166 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Ammanford AFC on the left, Penybont on the right.

First half

Goal · M. Davies9'
Goal · T. Mehew36'
Goal · T. Walker41'
Goal · N. Wood45'

Half-time0 – 4

Second half

Substitution · L. Shephard ⇄ A. Debono46'
Substitution · M. Davies ⇄ I. Phillips46'
46'Substitution · J. Evans ⇄ M. Fisher
46'Substitution · A. Orme ⇄ M. Delaney
46'Substitution · L. Sylvester ⇄ H. Rowe
46'Substitution · A. John ⇄ E. Griffiths
Missed penalty · T. Walker (assist : T. Walker)55'
59'Missed penalty · M. Delaney (assist : M. Delaney)
Substitution · D. Barrow ⇄ J. Leko63'
Substitution · T. Walker ⇄ E. Cann63'
64'Yellow card · L. Davies
73'Substitution · C. Shirt ⇄ J. M. Case
Substitution · A. Baker ⇄ C. Venables76'
Goal · E. Cann87'
90+1'Goal · M. Delaney

What we announced

5/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Over 1.5 goals78%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 9th minute, 6 in total.
Draw or Penybont86%held
- Penybont took the lead in the 9th minute and never let it go.
- Penybont took control early: opening goal in the 9th minute.
Draw or Penybont ahead at half-time84%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-4 at half-time, 9′ Penybont, 36′ Penybont, 41′ Penybont, 45′ Penybont.
Penybont to win69%held
Over 2.5 goals59%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAmmanford AFC 14th, Penybont 3rd (Premier League)

During the match

During the match9′ opening goal, Penybont (0-1)
During the match36′ Penybont go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-4
During the match90′ last goal, Ammanford AFC

What it changes

In this league, “Over 1.5 goals” goes from 89.4% to 89.6% success rate, over 48 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,166 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes