Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League (Wales) · Wales

full time

Monday, 31 August 2026

Cambrian & Clydach

2-2full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 1–1

Penybont

What Janus-12 said

51%

Under 2.5 goals

100% success over 1 match in this league

✗ Fell into the 49 %

A prediction at 51 % fails 49 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 2 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 2.5 goals

1xBet
Betsson

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 31/08, 07:31.

Sealed on 31/08, 14:30announced on 17/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

94% success over 18 matches in this league
77%✗
88% success over 16 matches in this league
73%✓
82% success over 11 matches in this league
79%✓
72% success over 18 matches in this league
51%✗

Premier League

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	The New Saints	12	11	1	0	+33	34
2	GAP Connah S Quay FC	12	9	1	2	+20	28
3	Penybont	12	8	3	1	+12	27
4	Barry Town	12	8	1	3	+7	25
5	Caernarfon Town	12	7	2	3	+21	23
6	Colwyn Bay	12	7	1	4	+6	22
7	Cardiff MET	12	6	3	3	+10	21
8	Airbus UK	12	6	0	6	+4	18
9	Cambrian & Clydach	12	5	3	4	-11	18
10	Llandudno	12	5	1	6	+2	16
11	Briton Ferry	12	3	3	6	-9	12
12	Haverfordwest County AFC	12	3	1	8	-10	10
13	Flint Town United	12	2	2	8	-12	8
14	Ammanford AFC	12	1	3	8	-23	6
15	Trefelin	12	0	3	9	-25	3
16	Holywell	12	0	2	10	-25	2

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 2.5 goals51%lost
Cambrian & Clydach or Penybont77%lost
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 74th minute, on the Cambrian & Clydach side.
Over 1.5 goals73%held
Draw or Penybont ahead at half-time79%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 31′ Cambrian & Clydach, 41′ Penybont.
Penybont to win51%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCambrian & Clydach 9th, Penybont 3rd (Premier League)

During the match

During the match31′ opening goal, Cambrian & Clydach (1-0)
During the match41′ equaliser, Penybont (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match63′ Cambrian & Clydach retake the lead (2-1)
During the match74′ sending-off, Cambrian & Clydach (L. Eason)
During the match77′ equaliser, Penybont (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 2.5 goals” goes from 100% to 50% success rate, over 2 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,024 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Cambrian & Clydach on the left, Penybont on the right.

First half

21'Yellow card · H. Bright
Yellow card · C. Venables30'
30'Yellow card · L. Eason
31'Goal · L. Eason
Goal · R. Hill41'
45'Yellow card · A. Evans

Half-time1 - 1

Second half

Yellow card · M. Davies58'
63'Goal · D. Edwards
63'Substitution · J. Allen ⇄ A. John
Substitution · C. Venables ⇄ I. Phillips70'
Substitution · J. Leko ⇄ D. Jefferies70'
Substitution · T. Walker ⇄ E. Cann70'
72'Substitution · J. Karadogan ⇄ K. Lewis
72'Substitution · A. Evans ⇄ D. Hillman
Yellow card72'
74'Yellow card · L. Eason
74'Red card · L. Eason
Goal · I. Phillips77'
Missed penalty · R. Hill (assist : R. Hill)85'
Yellow card · O. Pritchard88'

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 2.5 goals51%lost
Cambrian & Clydach or Penybont77%lost
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 74th minute, on the Cambrian & Clydach side.
Over 1.5 goals73%held
Draw or Penybont ahead at half-time79%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 31′ Cambrian & Clydach, 41′ Penybont.
Penybont to win51%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCambrian & Clydach 9th, Penybont 3rd (Premier League)

During the match

During the match31′ opening goal, Cambrian & Clydach (1-0)
During the match41′ equaliser, Penybont (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match63′ Cambrian & Clydach retake the lead (2-1)
During the match74′ sending-off, Cambrian & Clydach (L. Eason)
During the match77′ equaliser, Penybont (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 2.5 goals” goes from 100% to 50% success rate, over 2 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,024 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes