Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primeira Liga · Portugal

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 19 September at 15:30. Originally planned for Sunday 20 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 04/09.

Gil Vicente

1–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–1

Maritimo

What Janus-12 said

65%

Draw or Maritimo ahead at half-time

79% success over 34 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 35 %

A prediction at 65 % fails 35 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Maritimo ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 19/09, 04:55.

Sealed on 19/09, 15:30announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

78% success over 41 matches in this league
78%✓
78% success over 41 matches in this league
64%✓
56% success over 41 matches in this league
58%✓
46% success over 26 matches in this league
59%✓

Primeira Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Porto	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	+15	16
3	Sp Lisbon	7	4	3	0	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Sp Braga	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	0	10
9	Gil Vicente	6	2	2	2	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	+2	7
14	Guimaraes	7	1	2	4	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	-7	2

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Maritimo ahead at half-time65%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 7′ Gil Vicente.
Gil Vicente or draw78%held
- Gil Vicente took control early: opening goal in the 7th minute.
- Gil Vicente were never behind.
Over 1.5 goals64%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 7th minute, 2 in total.
- The two teams had 7 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
One team ahead at half-time58%held
Under 2.5 goals59%held
- The two teams managed only 7 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableGil Vicente 9th, Maritimo 11th (Primeira Liga)

During the match

During the match7′ opening goal, Gil Vicente (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match90′ equaliser, Maritimo (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Maritimo ahead at half-time” goes from 79.4% to 77.1% success rate, over 35 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Gil Vicente on the left, Maritimo on the right.

First half

7'Goal · Murilo Souza (assist : Gil Pinto Martins)
Substitution · Vladan Danilović ⇄ Nilton Varela45'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

54'Yellow card · Santiago García González
Yellow card · Rodri Andrade56'
Substitution · Adrián Butzke ⇄ Maurice Boakye67'
Substitution · Maxime Dominguez ⇄ Israel Isaac Ayuma67'
71'Substitution · Hector Hernandez ⇄ Mohamed Kaba
Substitution · Martín Tejón ⇄ Mons Rogeani Bassouamina78'
Substitution · Rodri Andrade ⇄ Ibrahim Akitunde Alani78'
84'Substitution · Murilo Souza ⇄ Joelson Fernandes
88'Substitution · Andreas Lausen ⇄ Martin Fernandez
88'Substitution · Gil Pinto Martins ⇄ Antonio Espigares
Goal · Israel Isaac Ayuma (assist : Maurice Boakye)90+3'

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Maritimo ahead at half-time65%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 7′ Gil Vicente.
Gil Vicente or draw78%held
- Gil Vicente took control early: opening goal in the 7th minute.
- Gil Vicente were never behind.
Over 1.5 goals64%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 7th minute, 2 in total.
- The two teams had 7 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
One team ahead at half-time58%held
Under 2.5 goals59%held
- The two teams managed only 7 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableGil Vicente 9th, Maritimo 11th (Primeira Liga)

During the match

During the match7′ opening goal, Gil Vicente (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match90′ equaliser, Maritimo (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Maritimo ahead at half-time” goes from 79.4% to 77.1% success rate, over 35 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primeira Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes