Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primeira Liga · Portugal

full time

Monday, 14 September 2026

Match postponed (2 times)

Moved to Monday 14 September at 20:45. Originally planned for Monday 14 September at 20:15.

Change noted on 12/09.

Sp Braga

1–0full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 1–0

Estoril

What Janus-12 said

88%

Sp Braga or draw

79% success over 38 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Sp Braga or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 14/09, 23:31.

Sealed on 14/09, 20:45announced on 30/08/2026, 15 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

79% success over 38 matches in this league
74%✗
58% success over 38 matches in this league
69%✓
58% success over 38 matches in this league
64%✗
50% success over 6 matches in this league
51%✗
48% success over 23 matches in this league
51%✓

Primeira Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Porto	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	+15	16
3	Sp Lisbon	7	4	3	0	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Sp Braga	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	0	10
9	Gil Vicente	6	2	2	2	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	+2	7
14	Guimaraes	7	1	2	4	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	-7	2

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Sp Braga or draw88%held
- Estoril played 27 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 63rd minute.
- Sp Braga took the lead in the 83rd minute and never let it go.
Over 1.5 goals74%lost
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 63rd minute, on the Estoril side.
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
Sp Braga to win69%held
One team ahead at half-time64%lost
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Sp Braga ahead at half-time51%lost
Under 2.5 goals51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSp Braga 6th, Estoril 18th (Primeira Liga)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match63′ sending-off, Estoril (Francisco Reis Ferreira)
During the match83′ opening goal, Sp Braga (1-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Sp Braga or draw” goes from 78.9% to 79.5% success rate, over 39 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,546 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Sp Braga on the left, Estoril on the right.

First half

Substitution · Fabrício Garcia ⇄ André Tiago Ramos das Neves10'
Yellow card · Francisco Reis Ferreira34'
45'Substitution · Bright Arrey Mbi ⇄ Adrian Bajrami

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

58'Substitution · Gabriel Silva ⇄ Ricardo Horta
58'Substitution · Adrian Barisic ⇄ Vitor Carvalho
Red card · Francisco Reis Ferreira63'
64'Substitution · Demir Ege Tıknaz ⇄ Jean-Baptiste Gorby
Substitution · André Tiago Ramos das Neves ⇄ Samuel Amissah65'
Substitution · Ricard Sanchez Sendra ⇄ Pedro Carvalho77'
Substitution · Jordan Holsgrove ⇄ Jordan Arnolin77'
Substitution · Nail Omerovic ⇄ André Lacximicant77'
81'Substitution · Gustaf Lagerbielke ⇄ Jonas Wind
83'Goal · Jonas Wind (assist : Jean-Baptiste Gorby)
Yellow card · João Carvalho85'
Yellow card · Pedro Carvalho88'

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Sp Braga or draw88%held
- Estoril played 27 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 63rd minute.
- Sp Braga took the lead in the 83rd minute and never let it go.
Over 1.5 goals74%lost
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 63rd minute, on the Estoril side.
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
Sp Braga to win69%held
One team ahead at half-time64%lost
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Sp Braga ahead at half-time51%lost
Under 2.5 goals51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSp Braga 6th, Estoril 18th (Primeira Liga)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match63′ sending-off, Estoril (Francisco Reis Ferreira)
During the match83′ opening goal, Sp Braga (1-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Sp Braga or draw” goes from 78.9% to 79.5% success rate, over 39 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,546 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primeira Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes