Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primeira Liga · Portugal

full time

Sunday, 13 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 13 September at 18:00. Originally planned for Sunday 13 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 04/09.

Benfica

3–1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 2–0

Gil Vicente

What Janus-12 said

94%

Benfica or draw

80% success over 35 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Benfica or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 13/09, 20:04.

Sealed on 13/09, 18:00announced on 30/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

77% success over 35 matches in this league
87%✓
69% success over 13 matches in this league
65%✓
60% success over 35 matches in this league
82%✓
60% success over 35 matches in this league
71%✗
60% success over 5 matches in this league
63%✗

Primeira Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Porto	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	+15	16
3	Sp Lisbon	7	4	3	0	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Sp Braga	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	0	10
9	Gil Vicente	6	2	2	2	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	+2	7
14	Guimaraes	7	1	2	4	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	-7	2

What we announced

4/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Benfica or draw94%held
- Benfica took control early: opening goal in the 29th minute.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 5 shots on target for Benfica against 2.
Over 1.5 goals87%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 7th minute, 4 in total.
- The two teams had 7 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Over 2.5 goals65%held
Benfica to win82%held
One team ahead at half-time71%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 7′ Gil Vicente, 29′ Benfica.
Benfica ahead at half-time63%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBenfica 2nd, Gil Vicente 9th (Primeira Liga)

During the match

During the match7′ opening goal, Gil Vicente (0-1)
During the match29′ equaliser, Benfica (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match87′ turnaround, Benfica go ahead (2-1)
During the match90′ turnaround, Benfica go ahead (3-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Benfica or draw” goes from 80% to 80.6% success rate, over 36 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Benfica on the left, Gil Vicente on the right.

First half

Goal · Hector Hernandez (assist : Gil Pinto Martins)7'
12'Yellow card · Enzo Barrenechea
Yellow card · Hector Hernandez26'
29'Goal · Vangelis Pavlidis

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

Substitution · Agustín Moreira ⇄ Santiago García González56'
Substitution · Hector Hernandez ⇄ Mohamed Kaba56'
58'Substitution · Leandro Barreiro ⇄ Fredrik Aursnes
58'Substitution · Enzo Barrenechea ⇄ João Palhinha
63'Yellow card · João Palhinha
Yellow card · Lucão70'
72'Substitution · Andreas Schjelderup ⇄ Claudio Echeverri
72'Substitution · Rafa Silva ⇄ Dodi Lukebakio
Substitution · David Moreira ⇄ José Silva81'
Substitution · Gil Pinto Martins ⇄ Tidjany Chabrol Toure81'
81'Substitution · Daniel Banjaqui ⇄ Jhon Durán
87'Penalty goal · Vangelis Pavlidis
Substitution · Marvin Elimbi Gilbert ⇄ Antonio Espigares88'
90+3'Goal · Gianluca Prestianni (assist : Claudio Echeverri)
Yellow card · Ricardo Esgaio90+5'

What we announced

4/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Benfica or draw94%held
- Benfica took control early: opening goal in the 29th minute.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 5 shots on target for Benfica against 2.
Over 1.5 goals87%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 7th minute, 4 in total.
- The two teams had 7 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Over 2.5 goals65%held
Benfica to win82%held
One team ahead at half-time71%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 7′ Gil Vicente, 29′ Benfica.
Benfica ahead at half-time63%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBenfica 2nd, Gil Vicente 9th (Primeira Liga)

During the match

During the match7′ opening goal, Gil Vicente (0-1)
During the match29′ equaliser, Benfica (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match87′ turnaround, Benfica go ahead (2-1)
During the match90′ turnaround, Benfica go ahead (3-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Benfica or draw” goes from 80% to 80.6% success rate, over 36 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primeira Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes