Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primeira Liga · Portugal

full time

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Match brought forward

Brought forward to Saturday 12 September at 20:30. Originally planned for Sunday 13 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 04/09.

Academico Viseu

2-1full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 2–1

Guimaraes

What Janus-12 said

70%

Academico Viseu or draw

79% success over 34 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Academico Viseu or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 12/09, 15:11.

Sealed on 12/09, 20:30announced on 30/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

79% success over 29 matches in this league
72%✓
76% success over 34 matches in this league
67%✓
62% success over 34 matches in this league
54%✗
52% success over 21 matches in this league
62%✗

Primeira Liga

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Porto	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	+15	16
3	Sp Lisbon	7	4	3	0	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Sp Braga	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	0	10
9	Gil Vicente	6	2	2	2	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	+2	7
14	Guimaraes	7	1	2	4	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	-7	2

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Academico Viseu or draw70%held
- Academico Viseu took the lead in the 90th minute and never let it go.
Draw or Guimaraes ahead at half-time72%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Over 1.5 goals67%held
- The two teams had 11 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
One team ahead at half-time54%lost
Under 2.5 goals62%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAcademico Viseu 7th, Guimaraes 14th (Primeira Liga)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match53′ opening goal, Academico Viseu (1-0)
During the match67′ equaliser, Guimaraes (1-1)
Line-up67′ the goal came off the bench: Gonçalo Nogueira (Guimaraes)
During the match90′ Academico Viseu retake the lead (2-1)
During the match90′ sending-off, Guimaraes (Alioune Ndoye)

What it changes

In this league, “Academico Viseu or draw” goes from 79.4% to 80% success rate, over 35 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,949 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Academico Viseu on the left, Guimaraes on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Lohann Doucet28'
Substitution · Lohann Doucet ⇄ Gonçalo Nogueira45'

Half-time0 - 0

Second half

53'Goal · Lorougnon Gohi
Substitution · Beni Mukendi ⇄ Alan de Souza Guimarães60'
Goal · Gonçalo Nogueira (assist : Alan de Souza Guimarães)67'
68'Substitution · Cihan Kahraman ⇄ Alejandro Mestanza
68'Substitution · Lorougnon Gohi ⇄ Nils Mortimer
Yellow card · Arnel Jakupović75'
76'Yellow card · André Clóvis
Substitution · Arnel Jakupović ⇄ Alioune Ndoye77'
Substitution · Oumar Camara ⇄ Miguel Nogueira77'
80'Yellow card · Alejandro Mestanza
Substitution · Ahmed Sidibé ⇄ Toni Borevković84'
86'Yellow card · Luis Silva
Yellow card · Toni Borevković88'
90'Substitution · Robinho ⇄ Tomas Domingos
90'Substitution · André Clóvis ⇄ Mohamed Bouldini
90+3'Goal · Mohamed Bouldini
90+4'Substitution · Gustavo Costa ⇄ Pedro Barcelos
Red card · Alioune Ndoye90+5'
90+5'Yellow card · Nils Mortimer

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Academico Viseu or draw70%held
- Academico Viseu took the lead in the 90th minute and never let it go.
Draw or Guimaraes ahead at half-time72%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Over 1.5 goals67%held
- The two teams had 11 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
One team ahead at half-time54%lost
Under 2.5 goals62%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAcademico Viseu 7th, Guimaraes 14th (Primeira Liga)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match53′ opening goal, Academico Viseu (1-0)
During the match67′ equaliser, Guimaraes (1-1)
Line-up67′ the goal came off the bench: Gonçalo Nogueira (Guimaraes)
During the match90′ Academico Viseu retake the lead (2-1)
During the match90′ sending-off, Guimaraes (Alioune Ndoye)

What it changes

In this league, “Academico Viseu or draw” goes from 79.4% to 80% success rate, over 35 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,949 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primeira Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes