Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primeira Liga · Portugal

full time

Sunday, 6 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 6 September at 18:00. Originally planned for Sunday 6 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Guimaraes

0-0full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 0–0

Casa Pia

What Janus-12 said

80%

Guimaraes or draw

83% success over 36 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Guimaraes or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 06/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 06/09, 18:00announced on 23/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

81% success over 27 matches in this league
64%✗
73% success over 22 matches in this league
63%✓
67% success over 27 matches in this league
58%✗
56% success over 36 matches in this league
54%✗
50% success over 18 matches in this league
60%✓

Primeira Liga

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Porto	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	+15	16
3	Sp Lisbon	7	4	3	0	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Sp Braga	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	0	10
9	Gil Vicente	6	2	2	2	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	+2	7
14	Guimaraes	7	1	2	4	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	-7	2

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Guimaraes or draw80%held
- No goal at either end: the draw was enough for the prediction.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 8 shots on target for Guimaraes against 3.
Over 1.5 goals64%lost
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The two teams managed only 11 shots on target in total, for 0 goal.
Draw or Casa Pia ahead at half-time63%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
One team ahead at half-time58%lost
Guimaraes to win54%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Guimaraes had 29 shots against 7, and no goal came.
Under 2.5 goals60%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableGuimaraes 14th, Casa Pia 17th (Primeira Liga)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0

What it changes

In this league, “Guimaraes or draw” goes from 83.3% to 83.8% success rate, over 37 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,465 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Guimaraes on the left, Casa Pia on the right.

First half

Substitution · André Gomes ⇄ Ivan Mandic29'
Substitution · Kevin Prieto ⇄ João Pedro45'

Half-time0 - 0

Second half

Substitution · Benjamin Pauwels ⇄ Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri57'
Substitution · Alassana Jatta ⇄ Henrique Araújo57'
62'Yellow card · Gustavo Silva
Yellow card · Ivan Mandic62'
63'Substitution · Alioune Ndoye ⇄ Arnel Jakupović
66'Yellow card · Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido
Substitution · Domingos José Gabriel Bandeira ⇄ João Goulart70'
70'Substitution · Miguel Nogueira ⇄ Oumar Camara
71'Substitution · Ahmed Sidibé ⇄ Óscar Rivas
Yellow card · João Pedro72'
86'Yellow card · Balieiro Thiago
87'Substitution · Lohann Doucet ⇄ Patrick Ouotro
87'Substitution · Fábio Samuel Amorim Silva ⇄ Gonçalo Nogueira

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Guimaraes or draw80%held
- No goal at either end: the draw was enough for the prediction.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 8 shots on target for Guimaraes against 3.
Over 1.5 goals64%lost
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The two teams managed only 11 shots on target in total, for 0 goal.
Draw or Casa Pia ahead at half-time63%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
One team ahead at half-time58%lost
Guimaraes to win54%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Guimaraes had 29 shots against 7, and no goal came.
Under 2.5 goals60%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableGuimaraes 14th, Casa Pia 17th (Primeira Liga)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0

What it changes

In this league, “Guimaraes or draw” goes from 83.3% to 83.8% success rate, over 37 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,465 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primeira Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes