Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primeira Liga · Portugal

full time

Sunday, 6 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Sunday 6 September at 15:30. Originally planned for Sunday 6 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Santa Clara

4–0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 3–0

Rio Ave

What Janus-12 said

74%

Santa Clara or draw

83% success over 35 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Santa Clara or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 06/09, 03:11.

Sealed on 06/09, 15:30announced on 23/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

81% success over 26 matches in this league
65%✓
76% success over 21 matches in this league
64%✗
65% success over 26 matches in this league
58%✓
53% success over 17 matches in this league
60%✗

Primeira Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Porto	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	+15	16
3	Sp Lisbon	7	4	3	0	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Sp Braga	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	0	10
9	Gil Vicente	6	2	2	2	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	+2	7
14	Guimaraes	7	1	2	4	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	-7	2

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Santa Clara or draw74%held
- Santa Clara took the lead in the 3rd minute and never let it go.
- Santa Clara took control early: opening goal in the 3rd minute.
Over 1.5 goals65%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 3rd minute, 4 in total.
- The two teams had 9 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Draw or Rio Ave ahead at half-time64%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 3′ Santa Clara.
One team ahead at half-time58%held
Under 2.5 goals60%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSanta Clara 4th, Rio Ave 16th (Primeira Liga)

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, Santa Clara (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match47′ Santa Clara go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ last goal, Santa Clara

What it changes

In this league, “Santa Clara or draw” goes from 82.9% to 83.3% success rate, over 36 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,465 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Santa Clara on the left, Rio Ave on the right.

First half

3'Goal · Brenner Lucas Goncalves Santos (assist : Vinicius lopes)
Substitution · Diogo Bezerra ⇄ Malik Sellouki45'
Substitution · Marios Vrushai ⇄ Pedro Amaral45'
Substitution · Dario Špikić ⇄ Sebastian Clemensen45'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

47'Goal · Tiago Ribeiro (assist : Gonçalo Paciência)
52'Goal · Vinicius lopes
Substitution · Tamble Ulisses Folgado Monteiro ⇄ Roland Galcik64'
66'Substitution · Tiago Ribeiro ⇄ Dani Borges
66'Substitution · Brenner Lucas Goncalves Santos ⇄ Luiz Fernando Salles De Castro
76'Substitution · Vinicius lopes ⇄ Joao Vasconcelos
76'Substitution · Gonçalo Paciência ⇄ Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira
Substitution · Andreas Ntoi ⇄ João Tomé Baptista77'
Yellow card · Tamas Nikitscher83'
84'Yellow card · Dani Borges
85'Substitution · José Tavares ⇄ Frederico Medeiros Silva
90'Goal · Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Santa Clara or draw74%held
- Santa Clara took the lead in the 3rd minute and never let it go.
- Santa Clara took control early: opening goal in the 3rd minute.
Over 1.5 goals65%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 3rd minute, 4 in total.
- The two teams had 9 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Draw or Rio Ave ahead at half-time64%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 3′ Santa Clara.
One team ahead at half-time58%held
Under 2.5 goals60%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSanta Clara 4th, Rio Ave 16th (Primeira Liga)

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, Santa Clara (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match47′ Santa Clara go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ last goal, Santa Clara

What it changes

In this league, “Santa Clara or draw” goes from 82.9% to 83.3% success rate, over 36 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,465 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primeira Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes